Forex News Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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GBP/USD Corrects Gains, EUR/GBP Remains Elevated

GBP/USD started a downside correction from the 1.2400 zone. EUR/GBP climbed higher above the 0.8750 and 0.8780 resistance levels.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

• The British Pound started a fresh decline from the 1.2400 resistance against the US Dollar.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2090 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
• EUR/GBP started a decent increase above the 0.8720 and 0.8750 resistance levels.
• There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 0.8765 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The British Pound faced a strong selling interest near the 1.2400 zone against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair formed a short-term top near 1.2400 and started a downside correction.

There was a clear move below the 1.2320 and 1.2280 support levels. The pair even declined below the 1.2120 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It traded as low as 1.1991 on FXOpen and is currently correcting losses.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

Recently, there was a minor upside correction above the 1.2040 level. There was a clear move above the 1.2050 level. It is now approaching the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2147 swing high to 1.1991 low.

On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.2080 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2090 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

The trend line is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2147 swing high to 1.1991 low. The next main resistance is near the 1.2100 zone. A clear upside break above the 1.2100 and 1.2120 resistance levels could open the doors for a steady increase in the near term.

The next major resistance sits near the 1.2200 level. On the downside, an initial support is near the 1.2020 level, below which it could test the 1.2000 support.

The next major support is near the 1.1960 level. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 1.1900 support zone.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Big Tech stock collapse stark indicator of 2022's woes

An unwritten adage which has often been wheeled out over recent years is that regardless of any form of economic catastrophe, geopolitical strife or change in the natural environment, technology will always prosper. It has been clear that in the past, when other industry sectors have struggled, technology companies make hay - largely because the whole world's operational fabric is now so dependent on advancing technical solutions which find solutions to problems and move us all forward.

Perhaps it is fair to say that back in the 1980s, if the economy was good, everyone needed lawyers and accountants and if it was bad, everyone needed lawyers and accountants, therefore today if the economy is good everyone needs better technology, and if it is bad, everyone needs better technology. This commonly held theory has been somewhat decimated this year, and the full extent of the downturn in fortunes for some of the world's largest technology and internet giants have nosedived in syncronization with the nosedive that the European and American economies have faced.

As the final days of 2022 are now with us, it is clear to see that during the course of this year, Apple stock has declined in value by 25%, Meta (Facebook) by 65%, and Amazon by 49%. The Nasdaq Composite Index which has a large number of technology firms listed on it has lost almost twice as much as the broader S&P 500 Index, which is a clear notification that it is not just Jeff and Mark that are in dire straits, but also a range of tech firms across all areas of the software and hardware world.

During the draconian lockdowns which western governments foist upon their populations during 2020, the 'big tech' firms, most of which offer services via the internet such as Amazon, thrived as others struggled due to forced closures of all physical competition and companies in Silicon Valley posted record earnings even as much of the western economy crumpled.

Defying the gravity of the economic meltdown appears to have been the tech industry's achilles heel, and now these firms are experiencing a fall which appears to be in some cases reducing them to almost half of their 2021 value.

The economic woes that many Western nations face are of course a large contributor to these matters, because in today's global world, high levels of inflation mean that American companies have to exchange more dollars to pay staff in their European offices, especially now that US inflation is dropping and European inflation is increasing and is now over 10% in Western Europe and in some Eastern European countries as much as 25%. Logisitical problems and shortages of components such as semiconductors have blighted production and slowed down delivery dates for new products from many large companies, resulting in very high costs and missed opportunities.

Technology is often considered evergreen, but in today's world, political malevolence and economic mismanagment can even adversely affect tech whereas until recently it was considered the savior in such circumstances.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 27th DEC 2022

BTCUSD: Three White Soldiers Pattern Above $16323

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of $16387 on 20th Dec, the prices started to correct upwards against the US dollar and are now ranging above the $16500 handle in the European trading session.

We have seen a bullish opening of the markets this week.

We can clearly see a three white soldiers pattern above the $16323 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday low of 16826 and an intraday high of 16970 in the Asian trading session today.

The prices are ranging near the support of the channel in the 1-hour time frame indicating a bullish tone of the markets.

Both the STOCH and Williams percent range are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term a decline in the prices is expected.

The relative strength index is at 51 indicating a NEUTRAL level for bitcoin, and the shift towards the consolidation phase in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving above its 100 hourly simple moving average and below its 100 hourly exponential moving average.

Some of the major technical indicators are giving a BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 17000 and 18000.

The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility with a mildly bullish momentum.

• Bitcoin: bullish reversal seen above $16323
• The STOCHRSI is indicating an oversold level
• The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $16881
• The short term range is mildly bullish

Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $16323

We can now see that the price of bitcoin is moving in a mildly bullish momentum and we are expecting moves towards the $17000 level before any market consolidation this week.

Some of the technical indicators are also giving a neutral tone of the markets.

We are now waiting for the next upwards leg above the $17000 handle which will push the price towards the $18000 levels.

We can see the formation of the bullish trend reversal pattern with adaptive moving averages AMA20 and AMA50 in the 30-minute time frame.

The price of bitcoin is ranging near the support of the triangle in the 1-hour time frame indicating a bullish trend.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $16374 which is a 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 16902 and Fibonacci resistance level of 16912 after which the path towards 17000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has increased by 0.08% by 14.24$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 12.985 billion. We can see an increase of 3.96% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

Bitcoin’s price is expected to remain in a consolidation phase before any major moves upwards due to the start of the holiday season, and trading volumes remain thin across the major cryptocurrency exchanges.

We are now looking for an upwards rally in the markets in 2023 with major targets at $20000 and $25000 levels.

The daily RSI is printing at 47 which indicates a NEUTRAL demand for bitcoin and the possibility of a shift towards the consolidation/correction phase for a short term in the markets.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone at $17175 which is a 50% retracement from a 4-week high/low and at $17765 at which the price crosses the 9-day moving average stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $17500 with a consolidation zone of $17000.

Technical Indicators:

The MACD (12,26): is at 6.40 indicating a BUY

The commodity channel index, CCI (14): is at -29.45 indicating a NEUTRAL

The rate of price change, ROC: is at 0.077 indicating a BUY

Bull/bear power (13): is at 2.02 indicating a BUY

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

EUR/USD Faces Hurdle While USD/JPY Aims Recovery

EUR/USD is stable above the 1.0600 support zone. USD/JPY could gain bullish momentum if there is a clear move above the 135.00 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY

• The Euro started a downside correction from the 1.0670 resistance zone.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0635 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
• USD/JPY is attempting a recovery wave from the 130.60 support zone.
• Earlier, there was a break below a rising channel with support near 135.00 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the Euro found support near the 1.0570 zone against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair started a steady upward move above the 1.0600 and 1.0620 resistance levels.

There was a clear increase above the 1.0650 resistance zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair even climbed towards the 1.0670 resistance zone. A high was formed near 1.0669 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting gains.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

There was a move below the 1.0650 support zone, but the pair remained stable above the 50 hourly simple moving average. A low is formed near 1.0611 and the pair is now rising.

There was a move towards the 1.0640 level. It tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0669 swing high to 1.0611 low. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 1.0650 level.

The next major resistance is near the 1.0670 level. An upside break above 1.0670 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might visit 1.0720. Any more gains might send the pair towards 1.0780.

An initial support on the downside is near the 1.0635 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0635 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.

The first major support is near the 1.0625 level. The main support sits near the 1.0600 zone, below which the pair could start a major decline. In the stated case, the pair might dive towards the 1.0550 support zone.

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[FXOpen Trader]

Tesla stock reaches 1-year low, loses another 11% in just one day

It has been a very rough ride for Tesla stock over recent months.

Yesterday's New York trading session was another case in point as Tesla stock declined in value to $109.1 per share, representing its lowest point in over a year, by a considerable margin.

Over the course of the past 12 months, Tesla has lost almost 70% of its value despite its vehicles remaining extremely popular worldwide.

What is very interesting about disruptors such as Tesla is that there appears to be a huge value in suspense and speculation.

Back in 2014 when Tesla began to make its first assault against the established motor industry which was already over 120 years old and extremely conservative - motor vehicles were still using internal combustion and there was no interest in moving away from it - which is the same type of motive power that the very first car used back in 1886 after Karl Benz committed his life's work to building a carriage which does not require a horse.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

A Look Back Over 2022

The trading year ends in a couple of weeks from now, and everyone is planning for the holiday season. December, traditionally, is a short month for traders as markets slow down in the second half of the month.

As such, it is the best time to review what happened throughout the year, what moved financial markets, and what might happen in the period ahead.

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ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 29th DEC, 2022

ETHUSD: Double Bottom Pattern Above $1183

Ethereum was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of 1185 on 22nd Dec, the price started to correct upwards against the US dollar moving into a consolidation channel above the $1200 handle on 27th Dec.

The prices are ranging near the support of the channel in the 15-minute time frame indicating a bullish trend.

We can clearly see a double bottom pattern above the $1183 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just above its pivot level of 1197 and moving into a consolidation channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1202 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1206 after which the path towards 1300 will get cleared.

The relative strength index is at 53 indicating a NEUTRAL demand for Ether and the continuation of the consolidation phase in the markets.

Both the STOCHRSI and Williams percent range are indicating an OVERBOUGHT level, which means that the price is expected to decline in the short-term range.

Some of the technical indicators are giving a BUY market signal.

Most of the moving averages are giving a NEUTRAL signal due to the market consolidation seen below the $1250 handle.

ETH is now trading below its 100 hourly simple and 200 hourly exponential moving averages.

• Ether: bullish reversal seen above the $1183 mark
• The short-term range appears to be mildly bullish
• ETH continues to remain above the $1150 level
• The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility

Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $1183

ETHUSD is now moving into a consolidation/correction channel with the price trading above the $1150 handle in the European trading session today.

We can see a range-bound movement in Ethereum from the last 15 days due to low liquidity and lower trading volumes.

The price of Ethereum has failed to clear the resistance of $1300 after touching a low of $1159 on 17th Dec.

ETHUSD touched an intraday low of 1184 in the Asian trading session and an intraday high of 1200 in the European trading session today.

We have seen a bullish opening in the markets this week.

The daily RSI is printing at 44 indicating a weak demand for Ether in the long-term range.

The key support levels to watch are $1152 which is a 1-month low, and $1183 which is a 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls.

ETH has increased by 0.04% with a price change of 0.442$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 4.723 billion USD.

We can see an increase of 4.27% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

ETH’s price started a minor correction above the $1200 handle and is now facing hurdles crossing the $1250 range on the upside.

The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral in present market conditions.

The price of ETHUSD will need to remain above the important support level of $1197 which is the pivot point.

The resistance zone is located at $1227 which is a 38.2% retracement from a 4-week low and at $1265 at which the price crosses 9-day moving average stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $1250 with a consolidation zone of $1200.

Technical Indicators:

The STOCH (9,6): is at 66.34 indicating a BUY

The commodity channel index (14): is at 162.66 indicating a BUY

High/lows (14): is at 4.04 indicating a BUY

Bull/bear power (13): is at 7.87 indicating a BUY

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Gold Price Aims More Gains, Crude Oil Price Could Resume Decline

Gold price is showing positive signs above the $1,800 level. Crude oil price is struggling below $80 and might resume its decline.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

• Gold price faced resistance near $1,832 and corrected lower against the US Dollar.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $1,808 on the hourly chart of gold.
• Crude oil price started a fresh decline from the $82.00 resistance zone.
• There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support near $79.75 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price attempted an upside break above the $1,825 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The price even cleared the $1,830 level, but the bears were active near the $1,832 zone.

A high was formed near $1,833 and the price started a fresh decline. There was a clear move below the $1,810 and $1,805 support levels. The price traded as low as $1,797 and recently started a fresh increase.

Gold Price Hourly Chart

There was a clear move above the $1,805 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The price even surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,833 swing high to $1,798 swing low.

Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $1,808 on the hourly chart of gold. On the upside, the first major resistance is near the $1,820 level. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,833 swing high to $1,798 swing low.

The next key hurdle is near the $1,832 level, above which it could even test $1,850. A clear upside break above the $1,850 resistance could send the price towards $1,880.

An immediate support on the downside is near the $1,808 level. The next major support is near the $1,800 level, below which there is a risk of a larger decline. In the stated case, the price could decline sharply towards the $1,765 support zone.

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[FXOpen Trader]

GBP/USD and USD/CAD 2023 Chart Outlook

GBP/USD started a downside correction from 1.2450. USD/CAD is signaling a fresh decline towards the 1.3300 and 1.3200 support levels.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD

1. The British Pound struggled to clear the 1.2420 and 1.2450 resistance levels.
2. Earlier, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.1700 on the daily chart of GBP/USD.
3. USD/CAD is facing a strong resistance near the 1.3700 zone.
4. It traded below a key contracting triangle with support near 1.3600 on the daily chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

After forming a base above the 1.0350, the British Pound started a steady increase against the US Dollar. GBP/USD gained pace for a move above the 1.1100 and 1.1500 resistance levels.

There was a move above the 1.2000 resistance and the 50-day simple moving average. During the increase, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.1700 on the daily chart of GBP/USD.

GBP/USD Daily Chart

The pair even moved above the 1.2220 level and traded as high as 1.2446 on FXOpen. It is now correcting gains and trading below the 1.2350 level.

Recently, there was a move below the 1.2220 and 1.2200 support levels. On the downside, an initial support is near the 1.1950 area. It is near the 23.5% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0341 swing low to 1.2466 high.

The next major support is near the 1.1800 level. If there is a break below 1.1800, the pair could extend its decline. The next key support is near the 1.1400 level. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0341 swing low to 1.2466 high

Any more losses might call for a test of the 1.1200 support. An immediate resistance is near the 1.2200 level. The next resistance is near the 1.2450 level. If there is an upside break above the 1.2450 zone, the pair could rise towards 1.2600. The next key resistance could be 1.3000.

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[FXOpen Trader]

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 03rd JAN 2023

BTCUSD: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Above $16372

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of $16372 on 30th Dec, the prices started to correct upwards against the US dollar and are now ranging above the $16600 handle in the European trading session today.

The price of bitcoin is ranging near the support of the channel in the weekly time frame indicating a bullish trend.

We can clearly see a bullish engulfing pattern above the $16372 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday low of 16655 and an intraday high of 16781 in the Asian trading session today.

The price is forming an ascending channel with the current support of $16690 at which the price crosses the 9-day moving average.

Both the STOCH and Williams percent range are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

The relative strength index is at 58.47 indicating a STRONG demand for bitcoin, and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving above its 100 hourly simple moving average and above its 100 hourly exponential moving averages.

Some of the major technical Indicators are giving a BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 17500 and 18500.

The average true range is indicating HIGH market volatility with a mild bullish momentum.

1. Bitcoin: bullish reversal seen above $16372
2. The average directional index is indicating a NEUTRAL level
3. The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $16752
4. The short term range is mildly bullish

Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $16372

We can now see that the price of bitcoin is moving in the correction phase after the recent decline below the $16500 level. The immediate targets are $17500 and $18500 in the short-term range.

Once the price of bitcoin will touch $18000, we are expecting a rally into the markets towards the $20000 level.

We can see the formation of the bullish trend reversal pattern with the adaptive moving average AMA50 and AMA100 in the 1-hour time frame.

Any dips from the current levels remain well supported above the $16500 handle as the bitcoin price continues to gain traction against the US dollar.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $16662 which is a pivot point, and at $16723 which is a 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 16765 and Fibonacci resistance level of 16773 after which the path towards 17000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has increased by 0.08% by 13.10$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 11.564 billion. We can see an increase of 5.89% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

Bitcoin’s price is expected to enter into a consolidation phase below the $17000 level. As the market liquidity increases, we will see the price upticking towards the $18000 handle.

As of now, the moves are expected to be in a narrow range between the $16000 and $17500 levels.

The daily RSI is printing at 47 which indicates a NEUTRAL demand for bitcoin and the possibility of a shift towards the consolidation/correction phase for a short term in the markets.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone at $17096 which is a 38.2% retracement from a 4-week low, and at $17333 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 50%.

The weekly outlook is projected at $17500 with a consolidation zone of $17000.

Technical Indicators:

The MACD (12,26): is at 20.50 indicating a BUY

The commodity channel index, CCI (14): is at 73.18 indicating a BUY

The rate of price change, ROC: is at 0.048 indicating a BUY

The Bull/bear power (13): is at 31.92 indicating a BUY

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

British Pound crashes against the US Dollar on first working day of 2023

Today represents the very first full working day of 2023 across many markets in the Western World, and already the currency markets have got off to a dramatic start.

The British Pound, which made a rebound at the end of last year from its months-long decline in value, has once again taken a dive.

As the markets opened this morning, the British Pound dropped in value against the US Dollar, diving from 1.21 against the US Dollar at 7.30am UK time, to 1.19 against the US Dollar just 2 hours later.

This sudden collapse in value has almost wiped out the gains made by the Pound during the final weeks of 2022, which saw the Pound begin to climb back up against the US Dollar from its lowly 1.08 value in mid to late September when it 'bottomed out' against the US Dollar and many market analysts were looking at the possibility of parity between the two major currencies.

Had that taken place, it would have represented an historic moment because the Pound has been the most valuable currency in the world since the mid 1920s!

It did not, however, reach anywhere near parity with the US Dollar and the Pound began to rise in value once again during November and December.

Today's crash in value represents the Pound's lowest point in over two months, which happened suddenly this morning.

Volatility in the currency markets used to be a very rare thing, and for over two decades until 2020, there was very little movement on the major currencies to the extent that entire trading strategies were built on the basis of low volatility.

Now, with rampant inflation across many Western markets, and fears of the UK's economic policy for the year being a damp squib, there was a strong demand for the US Dollar this morning as the markets opened, resulting in this sudden gulf in values.

It appears that despite the rollercoaster ride that occurred in 2022, there is still room for a surprise sudden movement in the major currency markets.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

EUR/USD and USD/CHF 2023 Chart Outlook

EUR/USD gained pace above the 1.0200 resistance zone. USD/CHF is declining and remains at a risk of more losses below the 0.9200 support.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF

• The Euro started a fresh increase above the 1.0200 resistance against the US Dollar.
• There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.9880 on the daily chart of EUR/USD.
• USD/CHF started a fresh decline below the 0.9750 and 0.9400 support levels.
• There was a break below a key rising channel with support near 0.9840 on the daily chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

This week, the Euro started a steady increase from the 0.9600 zone against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair gained pace above the 1.0000 level to move into a bullish zone.

The pair even climbed above the 1.0200 resistance and settled above the 50-day simple moving average. During the increase, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.9880 on the daily chart of EUR/USD.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

Moreover, there was a move above the 1.0500 level. It traded as high as 1.0735 on FXOpen and is currently consolidating gains. There was a move below the 1.0650 level. The pair traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0223 swing low to 1.0735 high.

On the downside, an immediate support is near the 1.0500 level. The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0223 swing low to 1.0735 high is also near the 1.0500 zone.

The next major support is near the 1.0220 level. A downside break below the 1.0220 support could start another decline towards the 1.0000 handle.

An immediate resistance is near the 1.0750 level. The next major resistance is near the 1.0800 level. A clear move above the 1.0800 resistance zone could set the pace for a larger increase towards 1.1000. The next major resistance is near the 1.1200 zone.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Oil price on the backfoot in early 2023 despite high demand

If the year 2022 can be remembered for any recurring feature in terms of demand for commonly traded commodities, it can be remembered as a year of high energy prices across many Western countries, with oil being one of the most prized consumable commodities of the year.

In the summer of 2022, Fuel stations across Europe and the United Kingdom were charging in excess of 2 euros / 2 pounds for a liter of unleaded fuel for vehicles, and energy costs for domestic heating, reliant on gas or oil, were soaring, especially in the United Kingdom where approximately 30 energy companies became insolvent and left the market in late 2021, resulting in far less competition at a time during which the raw material itself was in huge demand for geopolitical reasons.

Demand remains very high for crude oil, and as many European nations continue to enforce draconian sanctions on one of the world's largest suppliers of oil - the Russian Federation - prices have been volatile throughout the last 12 months.

Interestingly, however, Brent Crude Oil (WTI) started the year 2023 in a stagnant position.

Indeed, Brent Crude Oil futures for February 2023 settlement are 1.86% down compared to the end of December and currently valued at approximately $78.1 per barrel.

Stocks in 'big oil' companies are still quite strong, however, as publicly listed North American oil giantr ExxonMobil is reportedly set to report $56 billion in profit for 2022, marking the highest number ever achieved by a non-state-owned company and almost triple its 2021 result.

Whether these companies are riding on their bonanza year which 2022 turned out to be is yet to be seen, as it is possible that investors may view these massive profits with caution if 2023's initial few weeks does not demonstrate the same level of high prices as 2022 did.

If the natural gas market is any indicator of the performance of other commodities which are equally affected by the same geopolitical constraints, it is worth noting that natural gas prices are now back down to the level they were at this time a year ago, before the war started and before any sanctions on Russian gas companies were imposed which made it impossible for customers in Europe to pay Russian suppliers for gas, resulting in curtailing of supply.

It appears that those which owe money are now being chased, and just recently a Russian court approved an order that the assets of German industrial gas firm Linde worth $500 million be frozen at the request of a Gazprom-led joint venture, citing unfulfilled commitments.

There is a 'new normal' now that the markets are beginning to adjust to.

This morning, during the Asian trading session, Brent Crude oil crept back up slightly to the $79 per barrel mark, but, apart from a dip to $76 per barrel in mid-December, today's value is the lowest it has been since December 2021, before all of the sanctions began.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 05th JAN, 2023

ETHUSD: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Above $1181

Ethereum was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of 1181 on 30th Dec, the price started to correct upwards against the US dollar moving into a consolidation channel above the $1200 handle today in the European trading session.

We can see the formation of bullish engulfing lines in the weekly time frame.

We can clearly see a bullish engulfing pattern above the $1181 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just below its pivot level of 1251 and moving into a consolidation channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1254 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1257 after which the path towards 1300 will get cleared.

The relative strength index is at 69.10 indicating a STRONG demand for Ether and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

The average directional index is indicating a NEUTRAL level, which means that the price is expected to remain under consolidation in the short-term range.

Most of the technical indicators are giving a BUY market signal.

Most of the moving averages are giving a BUY signal at the current market levels of $1250.

ETH is now trading Above its 100 hourly simple and 200 hourly exponential moving averages.

• Ether: bullish reversal seen above the $1181 mark
• The short-term range appears to be mildly bullish
• ETH continues to remain above the $1250 levels
• The average true range is indicating HIGH market volatility

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[FXOpen Trader]

AUD/USD and NZD/USD 2023 Chart Outlook

AUD/USD started a decent increase in Oct 2022 and climbed above 0.6500. Similarly, NZD/USD was able to clear the 0.6000 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

• The Aussie Dollar gained pace above the 0.6400 and 0.6500 levels against the US Dollar.
• There is a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.6840 on the daily chart of AUD/USD.
• NZD/USD also started a steady increase above the 0.6000 and 0.6200 levels.
• There was a clear move above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6270 on the daily chart.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

In Oct 2022, the Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6200 zone against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair remained well bid and started a fresh increase above the 0.6400 resistance zone.

The pair climbed higher steadily above the 0.6500 level, but it remained below the 50-day simple moving average. There was a clear move above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the last major decline from the 0.7145 high to 0.6170 swing low.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

However, there are many resistances forming on the upside near the 0.6830 and 0.6850 levels. More importantly, the 50-day simple moving average is positioned near the 0.6850 level.

There is also a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.6840 on the daily chart of AUD/USD. Only a successful daily close above 0.6850 might start a strong recovery towards the 0.7150 level.

The 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the last major decline from the 0.7145 high to 0.6170 swing low is also near the 0.7150 level. Any more gains might send the pair towards the 0.7200 level.

On the downside, the key supports are 0.6720 and 0.6680, below which the pair may perhaps decline extend its decline towards the 0.6600 and 0.6550 levels. Any more losses might call for a move towards the 0.6400 level.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Watch FXOpen's January 2 - 6 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

• What to expect in stock market in 2023
• British pound crashes against USD
• USD rally short-lived
• Gold starts 2023 with strong growth

Watch our short and informative video, and stay updated with FXOpen.

FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

GBP/USD and GBP/JPY Aims Higher

GBP/USD is gaining pace above the 1.2100 zone. GBP/JPY is also rising and might gain pace if it clears the 160.20 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY

• The British Pound is showing positive signs above 1.2000 against the US Dollar.
• There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.2065 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
• GBP/JPY started a fresh increase above the 158.50 resistance zone.
• There is a key contracting triangle is forming with resistance near 160.00 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the British Pound found support near the 1.1840 zone against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair formed a base and started a steady recovery wave above the 1.2000 level.

There was a clear move above the 1.2050 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average. During the increase, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.2065 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

The pair even cleared the 1.2100 resistance. A high is formed near 1.2136 on FXOpen and the pair started a consolidation phase.

An immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.2140 level. The next major resistance is near the 1.2200 level, above which the pair could start a steady increase towards 1.2250. An upside break above 1.2250 might start a fresh increase towards 1.2320. Any more gains might call for a move towards 1.2400 or even 1.2500.

An immediate support is near the 1.2080. The next major support is near the 1.2065 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1841 swing low to 1.2136 high.

If there is a break below the 1.2065 support, the pair could test the 1.2050 support. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1841 swing low to 1.2136 high. Any more losses might send GBP/USD towards 1.1820.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Electric Vehicle stocks get a flat battery

Let's take a quick trip back to 2021, a year in which tech stocks were flying high, and the new phenomenon of Special Purchase Acquisition Company (SPAC) listings on NASDAQ were de rigeur.

SPAC listings were the talk of the town during 2021, because they represented a new and ingenious way for privately held companies to circumvent the usual due diligence associated with listing on a prestigious public stock exchange by creating a 'blank check' company which acquires the firm that wishes to list, and then meets the criteria very quickly via the new entity.

For this reason, many companies which were almost startups managed to become publicly listed, and the most interesting of all of them were little-known electric vehicle manufacturers who had hardly sold any vehicles at all but were being valued at stratospheric levels, sometimes into the billions of dollars.

2022 was a very different year. Tech stocks were crashing in value, and the sobering reality of declining economies across North America and Europe was evident, punctuated by cost of living crises and high levels of inflation. Suddenly, 2021, the year of the speculative meme stocks and pie-in-the-sky multi-billion dollar valuations for unknown firms doing SPAC IPOs on NASDAQ seemed a distant memory.

The value of electric vehicle stocks in general absolutely reflects this dynamic.

The most established pure electric vehicle manufacturer of all, Tesla, which is the firm that swooped in and disrupted the traditional automotive industry in 2014 with its Model S luxury sedan has had a rotten 2022 and its values are still a shadow of what they were this time last year as 2023 is well underway.

In fact, all of the publicly listed electric vehicle companies have recorded a disastrous 2022, and the low values of their stock is continuing into the second week of 2023.

Rivian, which launched on NASDAQ on November 10, 2021 at $78.00 a share, raising nearly $12 billion, is a case in point. Its R1T electric pickup truck is a work of automotive art and it was surrounded by huge hype at its IPO considering that it is a relatively new company founded in 2009 and suddenly was raising billions from public investors.

Today, however, looking at the chart over a one year period makes for sobering reading. The line is a constant decline all year, and today Rivian stock sits at a lowly $16. A far cry from its post-IPO $78!

Traditional automotive giants such as Ford Motor Company sat quietly and watched these newcomers go through 'boom and bust' style stock listing exercises.

Even Tesla is on the backfoot, and this week sits at its lowest point by far in well over a year.

The hype is over. Electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles are the norm, and perhaps buyers would rather pay what amounts to a substantial outlay for a car made by Porsche, Volvo, and Jaguar Land Rover at the high end, or Ford, GM, Kia and Hyundai at the run of the mill end, because these are automotive firms with prominence.

There was one particular company which listed on NASDAQ via a SPAC listing in 2021 and valued itself at over $50 billion but had not delivered a single vehicle.

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[FXOpen Trader]

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 10th JAN 2023

BTCUSD: Three Inside UP Pattern Above $16608

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of $16608 on 03rd Jan, the price started to correct upwards against the US dollar and is ranging above the $17200 handle in the European trading session today.

We have seen a bullish opening of the markets this week.

We can clearly see a three inside up pattern above the $16608 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday low of 17133 in the Asian trading session and an intraday high of 17277 in the European trading session today.

The price of bitcoin is back over the pivot point in the daily time frame.

The ichimoku is indicating a bullish crossover with tenkan and kijun in the daily time frame.

Both the STOCH and STOCHRSI are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

The relative strength index is at 55.92 indicating a STRONG demand for bitcoin, and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving above its 100 hourly simple moving average and above its 100 hourly exponential moving averages.

Most of the major technical indicators are giving a BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 17500 and 18500.

The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility with a strong bullish momentum.

• Bitcoin: bullish reversal seen above $16608
• The average directional index is indicating a NEUTRAL level
• The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $17261
• The short-term range is strongly bullish

Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $16608

The price of bitcoin continues to rise above the $17000 handle and after some consolidation we are expecting the immediate targets of $18000 and $19000.

There is an ascending channel forming with the current support at $16521 at which the price crosses 9-day moving average stalls.

The Williams percent indicator is back over -50 indicating a bullish tone present in the markets.

We can see the formation of a bullish trend reversal pattern with the adaptive moving average AMA20 in the 1-hour time frame.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is strongly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $16802 at which the price crosses 18-day moving average, and $16926 which is a 1st Support point of the pivot point.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 17271 and Fibonacci resistance level of 17289 after which the path towards 18000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has decreased by 0.08% by 14.08$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 15.993 billion. We can see an increase of 10.97% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

Bitcoin’s price is expected to enter a super bullish zone after crossing the $18000 level with the next upwards targets located at $19000 and $20000.

The daily RSI is printing at 60.20 which indicates a STRONG demand for bitcoin and the continuation of the bullish phase present in the markets in the short-term range.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone located at $17429 which is a 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls, and $17789 which is a 38.2% retracement from a 13-week low.

The weekly outlook is projected at $18500 with a consolidation zone of $18000.

Technical Indicators:

The MACD (12,26): is at 25.00 indicating a BUY

The commodity channel index, CCI (14): is at 135.50 indicating a BUY

The rate of price change, ROC: is at 0.232 indicating a BUY

Bull/Bear power (13): is at 24.49 indicating a BUY

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Elon Musk makes Guinness World Record for biggest loss of personal wealth in history

Disruption was the rising trend of the 2010s and as a result, today's big cap publicly listed companies on the world's most prominent stock exchanges are relatively recently established internet and technology firms, whereas back in the 1980s and 1990s before the dot com boom, they were large motor manufacturers, construction companies, big pharmaceuticals and Japanese real estate investment companies.

The bricks-and-mortar gave way to the ether at the turn of this Millennium, and here we are, almost a quarter of a century in, and the world is a very different place to where it was when there was a 19 at the beginning of the year.

This shift away from physical products made by traditional industries toward internet-based tertiary services has created a massive opportunity for disruption, and shortened development cycles by a huge amount.

One of the world's most famous disruptors is Elon Musk, who, himself a dot com boomer having founded PayPal in 1999, has been so influential over the past decade that he has changed the entire structure of some of the oldest and most established industries that exist, and in doing so, changed the behavior of people worldwide.

Not surprisingly, someone with this much influence and disrupting capability became the richest man in the world according to official statistics.

However, unlike old-school stalwarts like Warren Buffett who has to tread a careful path because he is responsible for people's investments, Elon Musk does things his way and his way only. He even took Tesla into cryptocurrency investment, making it the first publicly listed company to become a cryptocurrency 'whale', without even so much as a peep from usually conservative shareholders.

Indeed Tesla, despite being a small, relatively new company, had 10 times the market capitalization of 120-year established global giant Ford Motor Company by 2021!

Unlike Ford Motor Company, however, Tesla is volatile and during 2022 its value dropped like a falling girder from a cliff.

Now, official data has been released to show that Elon Musk himself has lost the most personally held money ever recorded to the extent that the Guinness World Records official adjudicators have listed him this week as the person to have lost the most of a personal fortune in history.

Elon Musk has personally lost over $100 billion during 2022 due to the plummeting share price of Tesla.

According to an estimate by Forbes, Elon Musk's personal fortune is still approximately $144 billion, but he is no longer the richest man in the world having sustained such a massive drop.

As per his usual 'gung ho' personality, Elon Musk appears unperturbed by this, and perhaps sees it as an opportunity.

After all he thrives on volatility and does not like stagnation!

Therefore this is a big stock worth watching.

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.