Forex News Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

USD/CAD Current Market Overview
USD/CAD, also known as the “Loonie,” reflects the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Canadian dollar. The pair has recently shown signs of bullish momentum, but this trend is beginning to lose steam, as evidenced in the latest price action. The chart displays a gradually weakening upward slope, suggesting that buyers might be losing control. Today, both the U.S. and Canadian economies are expected to release significant data, including U.S. housing starts and the Federal Reserve’s statement on interest rates, which could cause volatility. Additionally, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is expected to release the Summary of Deliberations, adding more potential for movement in the pair.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken out of its bullish structure, indicating a possible shift toward bearish sentiment. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing signs of a bearish wave potentially forming, with the MACD line approaching the signal line from above. Given the fundamental backdrop, including crude oil inventory reports, interest rate decisions, and projections, these indicators suggest caution for traders as a potential downturn may follow in the coming sessions.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore Ltd”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

GBPUSD H4 Chart Indicators Outlook and Forecast

The GBPUSD forex pair, often referred to as "Cable," is a major currency pair that represents the British Pound against the US Dollar. This pair is widely traded in the forex market, and its movements are influenced by economic factors from both the UK and the US. Traders keep a close eye on it, especially when significant economic data or central bank announcements are expected.
For today's fundamental outlook on Cable, the upcoming releases from the Bank of England are highly anticipated by traders. The central bank's hawkish stance is expected to positively impact the GBP, especially if the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members vote for an interest rate hike or lean toward tightening policies. Insights from the minutes of the MPC meeting and the inflation letter due to CPI fluctuations will provide critical clues about the UK's economic health. On the US side, Treasury International Capital (TIC) flows and Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey may affect the dollar, especially if demand for domestic securities surges, or if manufacturers display confidence in business conditions. Both of these indicators are pivotal for USD valuations in the coming trading sessions.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
In the Cable’s attached H4 chart, we can see a bullish trend for GBP/USD with a combination of both bearish and bullish candles, but the overall movement shows price appreciation. The Ichimoku Cloud, which acts as a dynamic support and resistance level, confirms the bullish outlook, with the price currently above the cloud. Furthermore, the pair trades between the 0.786 and 1 Fibonacci retracement levels, which signals potential resistance around the upper level. The MACD indicator shows a bullish divergence, with the histogram reflecting increasing buying momentum, suggesting the upward trend could continue. However, traders should remain cautious as minor corrections are still possible.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

EURGBP H4 Technical Analysis: Bearish Trend in Focus

The EURGBP currency pair, often referred to by traders as "Chunnel" or the "Euro-Pound," represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound. Euro-Pound price is influenced heavily by macroeconomic data from both the Eurozone and the United Kingdom. For today, Euro news includes the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Confidence Index, both serving as important indicators of inflation and economic sentiment. ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech at the Michel Camdessus Central Banking Lecture could also provide key insights into future monetary policy, which may influence the Euro. On the UK side, news surrounding consumer confidence and retail sales will be critical in shaping market sentiment. With both regions facing inflationary pressures, today's data releases and speeches are expected to heighten volatility in the EURGBP pair.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the EURGBP H4 chart, we can observe that the pair has been in a bearish trend, with four bullish candles out of the last eleven. The price has declined from the upper Bollinger Band to the middle band and touched the lower band, indicating increased volatility. After bouncing off the lower band, the last two candles have turned bullish, suggesting a potential short-term recovery. Currently, the Chunnel’s price is trading between the 1.0 Fibonacci level and the 0.786 level, highlighting a potential area of support. The RSI stands near the oversold zone, signaling that the bearish momentum may be weakening, and a bullish reversal could be imminent. Traders should watch for the price movement between these critical Fibonacci levels and observe the RSI for any divergence, which could provide further confirmation of a trend reversal.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore