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Fundamental analysis is very important. If a trader is a fundamental trader, he will learn to trade properly. Because to trade, you must have an idea about the fundamentals. If a trader fails to do fundamental analysis, he can make a lot of losses in trading.
 
Dollar Soothes after Beating U.S. Jobs Report

The U.S. dollar aided losses near 2-1/2 month lows on Monday as a bitter U.S. employment report advised investors to unwrap their increasing long positions in the U.S currency.

The United States developed a little more than a quarter of the jobs that economists had anticipated last month and the unemployment rate suddenly jumped higher, projecting uncertainties that the Fed would judge improving the timeline of tightening policy in the coming months.

The Dollar Index traces the greenback against six opponents, attained at 90.305, up 0.2% on the day, after dipping as low as 90.128 for the first time since Feb.

However, the dollar’s losses were skipped due to more specific U.S. Treasury yields, which were up nearly 2 bps in early London trading at 1.60%.

The Sterling was the winner among the most traded currencies, rising 0.5% to $1.4067 the highest since Feb. 25.

Such a plebiscite requires the reinforcement of the UK government in London and Prime Minister Boris Johnson has managed out keeping another vote, mentioned that the country faced more constraining difficulties such as the recovery from the corona virus pandemic.

The euro stabled 0.1% to $1.2142, earlier touching the highest since Feb. 26 at $1.2177.
 
Dollar Up, Commodity Currencies Restrict Gains

The dollar gains in early European trade Tuesday, however, gains were completed by the strength of commodity currencies on the back of rises in the prices of oil and base metals.

The U.S. Dollar Index traces the greenback against a basket of other currencies crawled down 0.06% to 90.237 by 11:53.

The USD/JPY pair slightly up 0.10% to 108.89.

The AUD/USD pair slightly up 0.03% to 0.7833 ahead of Australia’s federal budget, due to be handed down later in the day.

The NZD/USD pair trimmed down 0.14% to 0.7264.

The USD/CNY pair inched up 0.18% to 6.4270.

China’s CPI just dropped expectations, contracting 0.3% monthly but rose 0.9%Yearly. The PPI increased a 6.8% year-on-year.

The GBP/USD pair edged down 0.01% to 1.4118.

Investors are looking forward to inflation data from the U.S., including core CPI, that will be released on Wednesday. The data will measure the level of inflationary pressure and could accelerate Treasury yields up, possibly it could give the greenback a lift.

Prices for commodities including crude oil, copper, and steel are expected to rise further, increasing concerns about runaway inflation.

The dollar was trading at $1.2097 against its Canadian counterpart.

The greenback’s weakest level in more than three years. It was also near a two-week low against the Mexican peso.

Demand for commodities is anticipated to grow continuously because the improved COVID-19 vaccinations could lead to a growing economic viewpoint in more countries.
 
Dollar slightly Up; Inflation Data Appears Healthy

The dollar is a gainer with up in early European trade Wednesday although, remains near recent lows ahead of a key U.S. inflation release.

The Dollar Index, which traces the U.S. Dollar versus a basket of six other currencies, was up 0.2% at 90.287.

EUR/USD traded 0.2% lower at 1.2127.

USD/JPY elevated 0.2% to 108.83.

AUD/USD declined 0.5% to 0.7804.

NZD/USD sank 0.6% to 0.7234, with the commodity currencies reducing off after reading recent ten-week tops.

Investors now anticipate the latest U.S. consumer inflation data, due at 8:30, which is expected to show a 3.6% lift in yearly prices, promoted by last April’s low base. This would be the highest jump since September 2011.

On the other hand, equity markets have started to fuss about what a high inflation number could mean in terms of Federal Reserve policy continuing progressive.

Currency traders appear to have been soothed by repeated promises of patience from Fed speakers as the dollar remains at low levels.

St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said on Tuesday he expects inflation could linger as high as 2.5% next year, while Fed Governor Lael Brainard said weak labor data last week shows the recovery has a long way to run.

GBP/USD slipped 0.1% to 1.4129, after the united kingdom economy contracted 1.5% in the first quarter of the year, in line with the Bank of England’s latest forecast.
 
Dollar Elevated; Fed in Limelight on Inflation Surge

The dollar slightly higher in early European trade Thursday, with the U.S. currency supported by concerns of an earlier than expected Federal Reserve response to inflationary pressures in the wake of the worryingly large jump in U.S. consumer prices.

The U.S. Dollar Index Traces the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, was higher 0.1% at 90.775, around its highest level in a week.

EUR/USD traded 0.1% higher at 1.2075, after dropping around 0.6% the previous session.

GBP/USD was flat at 1.4052, and
USD/JPY Elevated 0.1% at 109.73, close to its strongest level in five weeks.

AUD/USD dropped 0.2% to 0.7712, while
NZD/USD climbed 0.1% to 0.7160, availing from additional plans to open the New Zealand economy.

The consumer price index strengthened 4.2% in April from a year ago, according to data released on Wednesday, well above consensus forecasts for 3.6% and climbing to its highest rate since the eve of the 2008 financial crisis.

Benchmark 10 year U.S. Treasury yields climbed to a five-week high above 1.70% overnight, enhancing the appeal of dollar-denominated assets, but have since trimmed back down to 1.685%.

Fed speakers have been very keen to make clear that they expected a bounce in prices as last year’s collapse in oil prices and a nascent economic recovery worked their way through the system, but they saw this increase as temporary.
 
Dollar Topple; Inflation Concerns Indicate Substantial Week

The Dollar Declined in early European trade on Friday after the one-week gain because traders considerably seem to be fine with the latest inflation data that could impact on Federal Reserve Policy.

The Dollar Index, which traces the U.S. currency against a basket of six other currencies was declined 0.2% at 90.532.

EUR/USD was traded 0.3% higher at 1.2109.

GBP/USD was high 0.1% at 1.4068.

USD/JPY was declined 0.1% at 109.39.

AUD/USD elevated 0.2% to 0.7744.

NZD/USD elevated 0.3% to 0.7192.

The release of Factory gate price data in the U.S. on Thursday with the Producer Price Index Inclined by 0.6% in April and the Annual Figure climbed by 6.2% which was the highest yearly rise since the series was renewed in 2010.

This powerful data add to Wednesday’s remarkable rise in consumer price. Submitting inflationary pressure is building up in the United States because of the vaccine rollouts ready to reopen of a rupturing economy.

Benchmark 10- Year U.S. Treasury yields declined after the PPI data and now trade around 1.65%.

For today, the centre of attraction will be the U.S. retail sales for April, which should continue to persist strongly after the impressive 9.7% rise in March, as well as industrial production numbers and consumer sentiments for May.
 
Dollar Higher Over Asian Covid-19 Upsurge Concerns

The Dollar elevated on Monday morning in Asia amid distresses caused by fresh COVID-19 cases in some Asian Countries. Notwithstanding, investors are densely positioning for a drop in the U.S. currency as the U.S. Federal Reserve holds to its current dovish policy.

The U.S. dollar index traces the greenback against a basket of other currencies slightly up 0.06% to 90.373.
The USD/JPY pair slightly up 0.01% to 109.336.
The AUD/USD pair was declined 0.24% to 0.7753, with the reserve bank of Australia due to release the minutes from its latest meeting on Tuesday.

The NZD/USD pair declined 0.52% to 0.7216.

The USD/CNY pair Slightly up 0.03% to 6.4384.
Chinese industrial production growth decreased to 9.8% yearly in April, as per the data released earlier in the day.

The GBP/USD pair slightly down 0.04% to 1.4090.
However, the pound was almost a two-and-a-half-month high as the U.K. reopens its economy after a four-month lockdown.

The U.S. currency was supported by facilitating commodity prices and the COVID-19 outbreaks in Singapore and Taiwan with both countries hardening restrictive measures.
Singaporean primary, secondary, junior college, and Millennia Institute students shifted to full home-based learning from May 19 till the end of the school term on May 28.

However, a rebound from surprisingly good U.S. inflation data released during the earlier week dissolved over uprising investor hopes that the Fed will keep investment rates low.

Read More : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex
 
Dollar Declined as Investors speculate on the U.S. Interest Rate Staying lower

The dollar slipped on Tuesday morning in Asia, hitting a six-year low against its Canadian counterpart and hanging close to multi-month lows against European currencies because investors are expecting that up bets the U.S. Federal Reserve would not lift interest rates.

The U.S. Dollar Index traces the greenback against a basket of other currencies slightly down 0.05% to 90.097.

The USD/JPY pair slightly up 0.03% to 109.22, with Japan’s slow COVID-19 vaccination rate and dollar weakness securing the duo into a narrow range.

The yen also fell against the pound and the riskier currencies as data released earlier in the day said that the Japanese economy contracted more than expected during the first quarter of 2021, as its GDP contracted 5.1% yearly and 1.3% quarterly.

The AUD/USD pair was high 0.35% to 0.7791, with the Reserve Bank of Australia releasing the minutes from its latest meeting earlier in the day.
The NZD/USD pair gained 0.47% to 0.7234.
The USD/CNY pair slightly down 0.17% to 6.4278.
The GBP/USD pair was high 0.27% to 1.4173, its most powerful level since February 2021, as the U.K. begins to get out from the stringent COVID-19 lockdown.
The dollar was at $1.2167 against the euro, close to its weakest level since Feb. 26, 2021. The Canadian dollar climbed to a six-year high of C$1.2045 against its U.S. counterpart, supported by a rise in oil prices.

On Monday, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan repeated his view that he does not expect interest rates to rise until 2022, thus sparking a further drop in bets that inflationary pressure could force the central bank to act sooner than expected.

Other Fed officials are expected to speak throughout the week and investors also await the release of the minutes from the Fed’s latest meeting, due on Wednesday.

Investors will examine the minutes once they are delivered for evidence as to the Fed’s monetary policy direction for the rest of 2021. However, an agreement is building that the Fed will continue with its current negative policy over the assumption that any acceleration in inflation is temporary, in turn keeping the dollar on a downward trend.
 
Dollar Steadied Against Major Currencies; Bitcoin Tumbled On China’s Verdict

The Dollar Stabilized versus major currencies on Wednesday as traders were waiting for U.S. Federal Reserve minutes, Although bitcoin dropped after China halted its financial institutions from offering services related to cryptocurrency assets.

The minutes from the Fed’s most recent meeting is going to take place later on Wednesday are assumed to validate that policymakers are perhaps not ready to increase the rates.

The U.S currency traded at $1.2076 against the Canadian dollar close to its weakest since May 2015.

The GBP bought $1.4187, which was near its strongest level since late February.

The EUR was constant at $1.2231.
The dollar slightly moved at 108.96 against the yen and 0.8974 against the Swiss franc.
Previous week Data showing U.S. consumer prices increased 4.2% in April from a year earlier, was the quickest development in more than a decade, boosting concerns the Fed will have to commence raising interest rates earlier.

Fed policymakers confirmed that the rise is short-lived and repeated that they expect rates to remain flat, though not all are convinced by the Fed’s line.

The Dollar Index traces the U.S. Currency against a basket of six major currencies was valued at 89.732.

CAD and GBP Elevated as the expectations for policy tightening in Canada and the progressive lifting of all the restriction of coronavirus in Britain. However, any favorable inflation can lead the Dollar to recover from some of its losses.

In the cryptocurrency market, bitcoin plunged below the closely-watched $40,000-mark to a three-month low of $39,000.
Ether dropped by more than 13% to $2,900, which is a two-week low.

Managerial uncertainty has appeared as an adverse factor after China banned its financial systems from offering cryptocurrency registration, trading, clearing, and settlement in a blow to investors who were betting that digital assets will gain mainstream status.
 
The Dollar weakened as Fed Minutes Sign at Narrow Discussion

The dollar dropped on Thursday morning in Asia as the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting minutes unveiled that policymakers recommended a slowdown of bond purchase due to a sign of hastening inflation.

The U.S. Dollar Index traces the greenback against a basket of other currencies slightly down 0.08% to 90.123

The USD/JPY pair dropped 0.07% to 109.14 as April’s trade data released earlier in the day surpassed expectations.
Exports expanded 38.0% year-on-year, Imports improved 12.8% year-on-year and the trade balance remains at JPY225.3 billion.

The AUD/USD pair trimmed up 0.17% to 0.7740. Employment data for April released earlier in the day said that the employment change declined by 30,600 in April while the unemployment rate dropped to 5.5%.
The NZD/USD pair slightly up 0.13% to 0.7176.

The USD/CNY pair inched up 0.07% to 6.4385, with the People’s Bank of China releasing the loan prime rate earlier in the day.

The GBP/USD pair slightly up 0.01% to 1.4114.

Investors are shocked by the verdict of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other Fed official has mentioned again that the Fed dovish policy will remain unchanged as any rise in inflation would be temporary.
 
A Busy Economic Calendar Puts the EUR, the Loonie, the Pound, and the U.S Dollar in Focus

Technical Market Analysis

EUR/USD


Looking out to the pair, the price has already given the dip of 30 pips as the US dollar strengthened, by the mid of Thursday noon EUR/USD had been pushed up by the SMA to the resistance price of 1.2200. We can say that the pair will remain on the front foot around 1.2230 during the early morning today, later we have seen there was the decline of 0.5% of our dollar, On the monetary policy front, ECB president Lagarde is also scheduled to speak, major key levels of the pairs are as follow
Support level 1.2226
Resistance level 1.2239

GBP/USD

We can say that GBPUSD maintains a bullish bias in the short term picture, The pair opened at a higher price and quickly retreated toward the session’s low near 1.4169 giving the movement of 30 pips, Currently, the pair is trading at 1.4177 down of 0.08% on the day.
support level 1.4166
Resistance level 1.4181

AUD/USD

The Australian employment data largely disappointed yesterday giving the sharp decrease of 30,600 jobs against an expected gain of 15,000 jobs for April. Although there was a boost overnight following the slide on the greenback, the unemployment rate falls to 5.5%. Today we can see stable movement at 0.7756 and it could give the range between 0.78-0.7750 region for now. If there will be a break on any of these prices, it will give clarity on future movements
Support level 0.7746
Resistance level 0.7770

XAU/USD

The commodity is witnessed down on Friday morning in Asia Session as an improving outlook for Investors, however, dollar weakness and growth in Inflationary pressure capped losses. The latest update for the commodity is while bouncing off the intraday low, gold prints mild losses which is 0.10% coming around 1875.40 during Friday’s Asian session. Giving the consolidated gains, here are the levels it can witness today
Support level 1870.34
Resistance level 1878.44.
 
Currency Pairs Analysis

EUR/USD


The market opening gave a slow start for EUR/USD to open below 1.2200, speaking the trend for today. further rise is expected with the 1.2050 support intact. watching the sluggish upside movement, the break of 1.2244 will resume the rise from 1.1703 to retest 1.2348 high. In the corresponding scenario, the break of 1.2050 will delay the bullish case. Looking out to the big picture, the reluctance of Federal Reserve Officials to signal a recalibration of policy gave the boost in the economy, these conditions are going to favor the pair giving the bullish scenario.

GBP/USD

The pair have been seen picking the recovery to 1.14152, which is 0.03% intraday. ahead of today’s opening of the London session. In doing so, the pair is taking hints from the upbeat risk reversal for the recovery moves from a short-term support line. On the upside, the decisive break of 1.4240 will again lead uptrend for 1.4376 key resistance. This break will carry larger bullish implications giving the target of 38.2% retracement Speaking of an alternate scenario, the break of 1.4098 support will delay the bullish outlook.

USD/JPY

The USDJPY pair remained depressed heading into the European session. Watching the intraday bias in the pair, the movement of the pair will be neutral as the trading range continues. On upside above 109.77, it will resume the rebound from 107.47 to retest 110.95 high. On the downside, the break of 108.34 will turn bias back to the downside for 107.47 support. The US dollar rose 37 pips against the Japanese yen on Friday. All things being equal, the exchange rate could continue to edge higher. A possible target for the pair will be near the 103.30 area.

XAU/USD

Watching out the commodity, Gold is meeting critical monthly resistance. Gold edged higher during the early part of trading action today. Giving the four-month high of $1887, before pulling back slightly. Watching out the US Manufacturing and service PMI data which was stronger than expected boosted the inflation outlook. Meanwhile, the US DOllar index is hovering near a three-month low of 90.02, lending support to the yellow metal.
 
Market analysis for 25th May 2021

EUR/USD

A bullish trend for the EURUSD pair is expected with an optimal forecast of 1.2279 and with daily volatility of 0.47%. The successive gains in the pair are credited to the downbeat performance of the US dollar. The higher point for the pair was $1.2215 yesterday, giving a positive outlook for further gains. But today the pair is giving the narrow range of 1.2210-30 staying close to the February highs. On the hourly chart, EUR/USD is still trading above the MA line (200) H1 ($1.2165). The situation is similar to the four-hour chart.

GBP/USD

Today, The pair is trading in the range of 1.4110-70, On the hourly chart, the pair is testing MA(200) H1 (1.4130) moving average line, but on the four-hour chart, it will be neutral. The main scenario for the pair’s promotion is the session high of 1.4170 and maybe can reach 1.4235. Looking out for the alternative scenario, if the support of 1.4080-1.4100 is broken, then the pair may fall to 1.4005.

NZD/USD

Kiwi Dollar recently broke the trendline, which is now in focus following the overnight higher move. The pair also now against its 20-day SMA. If the pair manages to break back above trendline resistance, then we can see the new higher highs. Alternatively, a move lower would look for support at 61.8%. With the strong momentum, line favoring NZDUSD bulls, the quote’s run-up towards another trend line resistance, around 0.7255 becomes imminent. Though any upside needs to cross 0.7270 before challenging the monthly top near 0.7305.

XAU/USD

Gold prices have held the multi-month bull flag resistance, which is increasing the confidence that a march back to all-time highs has begun. This boost in gold has been noticed after the weakness in US Treasury yields. The XAUUSD pair started the week on a firm footing and extended its technical buying pressure. Resistance of the pair may target 1902 giving the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.80%. Support is seen near the 200 SMA at 1845.
 
Market update for today

EUR/USD


The market opening gave a slow start for EUR/USD to open below 1.2200, speaking the trend for today. further rise is expected with the 1.2050 support intact. watching the sluggish upside movement, a break of 1.2244 will resume the rise from 1.1703 to retest 1.2348 high. In corresponding scenario, the break of 1.2050 will delay the bullish case. Looking out to the big picture, the reluctance of Federal Reserve Officials to signal a recalibration of policy gave the boost in the economy, these conditions are going to favor the pair giving the bullish scenario.

GBP/USD

The pair have been seen picking the recovery to 1.14152, which is 0.03% intraday. ahead of today’s opening of the London session. In doing so, the pair is taking hints from the upbeat risk reversal for the recovery moves from a short-term support line. On the upside, the decisive break of 1.4240 will again lead uptrend for 1.4376 key resistance. This break will carry larger bullish implications giving the target of 38.2% retracement Speaking of an alternate scenario, the break of 1.4098 support will delay the bullish outlook.

USD/JPY

The USDJPY pair remained depressed heading into the European session. Watching the intraday bias in the pair, the movement of the pair will be neutral as the trading range continues. On upside above 109.77, it will resume the rebound from 107.47 to retest 110.95 high. On the downside, the break of 108.34 will turn bias back to the downside for 107.47 support. The US dollar rose 37 pips against the Japanese yen on Friday. All things being equal, the exchange rate could continue to edge higher. A possible target for the pair will be near the 103.30 area.

XAU/USD

Watching out the commodity, Gold is meeting critical monthly resistance. Gold edged higher during the early part of trading action today. Giving the four-month high of $1887, before pulling back slightly. Watching out the US Manufacturing and service PMI data which was stronger than expected boosted the inflation outlook. Meanwhile, the US Dollar index is hovering near a three-month low of 90.02, lending support to the yellow metal.
 
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW 28TH MAY

EUR/USD


EUR/USD recently broke the level of 1.22. trending upwards. The currency pair is moving towards the support zone of 1.21500 and the next resistance zone is at 1.23200. Look for buying opportunities for the pair if it bounces up the support zone of 1.21500. the previous day, mainly on US Dollar, rebound ahead of the key inflation figures and budget announcements. The US inflation figures are likely to favor the US dollar, upbeat expectations from the budget may tame the greenback’s upside, likely restricting EUR/USD losses.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD recently bounced up from the key level of 1.41 after the hawkish remark made by a BANK OF ENGLAND committee member that if the current furlough program were to end smoothly by the end of this year, it will likely to appropriate for the central bank to increase rate next year. The currency pair is testing to break above the key level of 1.42. Its next support is at 1.40000 and the next resistance zone is at 1.43500—look for buying opportunities if it breaks above the key level of 1.42

AUD/USD

AUD/USD is ranging across—it was announced yesterday that Australia’s Victoria states will be going under 1-week lockdown in an attempt to contain the COVID outbreak in Melbourne. AUD/USD’s next support zone is at 0.75500 and the next resistance zone is at 0.78000. Look for selling opportunities for the pair. The pair is holding the lower ground below 0.7750, although clinging to its recent trading range. The US Dollar sees renewed buying interest, despite the risk-on mood fueled by president Biden’s spending plans. All eyes on US Core PCE Index

XAU/USD

The US Dollar is creeping higher, while the price of gold is trading down some 0.11% on the day, slipping below the hourly 10 EMA from a high of $1898 to print $1894, the low for a day so far. However, from a daily perspective, the emphasis on the upside following what appears to be a meanwhile and healthy correction in an otherwise strongly bullish environment.
 
MARKET UPDATES 1ST JUNE 2021

EURUSD


EURUSD is looking neutral in the near term. Once the pair will reach a level above 1.2230. it can gain bullish potential, while bears could take over on a break below 1.2165. Overall the pair is trending upwards, some reports including German Preliminary CPI data, which was released yesterday indicated the continued rise in German’s inflation in may albeit at a slightly slower rate.
Also, the eurozone Unemployment Rate data will be released later at the same time. The next support zone of the pair is at 1.21500 and the next resistance zone is at 1.23200. Look for the buying opportunities of eurusd.

GBPUSD

Bank of England Governor Bailey will be speaking later at 2300 (GMT+ 8). During this time volatility can be seen in GBP. The pair is currently testing to break above the key level of 1.42, giving the next support zone at 1.40000 and the next resistance zone at 1.43500. Once the key level of 1.42 will be broken, look for short-term selling opportunities of GBPUSD. Moving on, the traders will keep their eyes on the risk catalysts and the US Dollar moves ahead of the US ISM data. The UK PMI for May is expected to confirm a 61.9 initial forecast, which is exciting for the traders.

USDJPY

Recently the pair bounced down from the key level of 110. The Japanese Consumer Confidence data released yesterday indicated the slight decline in the level of confidence of the surveyed households on the Japanese economic conditions. Also, the Japanese Housing Starts released yesterday, a strong increase in the number of new residential buildings that began construction. The next support zone is at 108.500 and the next resistance zone is at 110.800, look for the selling opportunities of USDJPY.

USDCAD

USDJPY bounces off intraday low but stays under pressure towards short-term support line, Recently the pair failed to break the resistance zone of 1.21000. The OPEC-JMMC meetings will be held today and we can see the volatility in CAD. Also the Canadian Manufacturing PMI data will be released later at 2130 GMT+ 8. USDCAD’s next support zone is at 1.19000 and the next resistance zone is at 1.21000. Look for short-term selling opportunities of USDCAD. The pair sellers justify sustained trading below short-term resistance lines and descending Momentum line.
 
Looking for the Technical perspective for the day

EUR/USD


EUR/USD remains sidelines around 1.2215 during the initial hours of Wednesday’s Asian session. The Eurozone CPI flash estimate data released yesterday indicated an increase in Annual inflation. Also, the Eurozone Unemployment Rate data released has indicated a slight decrease in the jobless rate. The next support zone will be at 1.21500 and the next resistance zone is at 1.23200, look for buying opportunities for the pair.GBP/USD

If we see the pair, it recently broke the level of 1.42. While market optimism towards the UK economic outlook continues to provide support, COVID-19 news updates will influence. News of new strains of the coronavirus weighed on the Pound early in the week. We can see the next support zone at 1.40000 and the next resistance zone at 1.43500, although we can look for short-term selling opportunities for the pair, overall the pair will be trending upwards.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD is the major pair to focus on today. During the monetary policy meeting yesterday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept interest rates at 0.10% while maintaining quantitative easing (QE) at its current settings. Currently, AUD/USD is following towards the resistance zone of 0.78000 next the next support zone is at 0.75500. Look for selling opportunities of AUD/USD if it bounces off the resistance zone of 0.78000. Therefore, the pair is in the big picture for now.

GOLD (XAU/USD)

GOLD remains subdued at around 1.900 today, the metal dropped the most in three weeks. Moving on, a light calendar and cautious sentiment ahead of Friday’s key US Nonfarm Payrolls can keep the metal chained but the Fedspeak may boost up short-term traders, the price rallied to score a fresh daily high following a retest of the support structure.
 
Technical update 4th June

EUR/USD


Currently, EUR/USD is testing the support zone of 1.21500, if the pair breaks this level then look for short-term selling opportunities until the release of the U.S jobs reports later in 2030 (GMT+8). Overall, the pair is trending upwards. Even if the euro experiences temporary momentum on upcoming data, The economists don’t see that big move being sustained in the face of a gradually more hawkish tone from fed.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD is currently testing to break below the key level of 1.41. Its next support zone is at 1.40000 and the next resistance zone is at 1.43500. If the pair breaks this level then look for short-term selling opportunities of GBPUSD up until the release of the U.S jobs report later at 2030 (GMT+8).GBP/USD remains pressured around 1.41, consolidating its losses.

AUD/USD

The pair has reached the 0.7675 pivots as the dollar strengthens across the board, We can expect Aussie to fall potentially to 0.7394, overall the pair is ranging across. Recently the pair broke the level of 0.77. The Australian Retail Sales m/m data (Actual: 1.1%, Forecast: 1.1%, Previous: 1.1%) released yesterday indicated an increase in consumer spending at the same rate as the previous month, The pair’s next support zone is at 0.75500 and the next resistance zone is at 0.78000, look for short-term selling opportunities of the pair until the release of U.S jobs report later at 2030 (GMT +8).
 
TECHNICAL MARKET ANALYSIS 7th JUNE

EUR/USD


EUR/USD is currently strengthened after the release of the weaker than expected U.S. jobs report. The Eurozone Retail Sales data released last Friday indicated a decline in consumer spending in April. The pair is testing the support zone of 1.21500 and the resistance will be at 1.23200, look for short-term buying opportunities of EURUSD if it rejects the support zone of 1.21500, overall we can say that the pair is ranging across.

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD bounced up from the key level of 1.41 after the release of Lower than expected U.S jobs report. The UK construction PMI data which was released last Friday indicated the prolonged expansion of the construction sector in May at the fastest pace since data collection started. Currently, the pair is moving towards the key level of 1.42, its next support zone is at 1.40000 and the next resistance zone is at 1.43500. Look for short-term buying opportunities for the pair if it breaks above the key level of 1.42.

USD/JPY

The pair trades on a muted tone on the first trading day of the new week extends the previous week’s losses and remains subdued. Yen suffers from its downbeat economic outlook. The pair broke below the key level of 110 after the NFP release. The Japanese Final GDP q/q data will be released tomorrow at 0750 (GMT+8). The pair’s next support zone is at 108.500 and the next resistance is at 110.800. Overall, the pair is trending upwards.

XAU/USD

Gold extends early Asian pullback to refresh intraday low around 1887$, down 0.23% on a day, during Monday’s initial trading session. Gold ended 1.1% higher on Friday to $1,891.39 following a recovery from the $1,856.04 lows to a high of $1,896.24 highs after US Non farm Payrolls data showed hiring increased below what was expected. For gold specifically, it is worth taking into consideration waning demand flows from India and China.
 

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