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[FXOpen Trader]

Lumber Prices Go Ballistic as the U.S. Housing Market Booms

The U.S. housing sector is closely watched by investors from all over the world. It has strategic importance both for the United States GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and for the world’s economies.

People are too focused now on the COVID-19 pandemic to remember that the previous crisis, a financial one, started from the U.S. housing sector. In 2008-2009, the U.S. housing market bubble burst, a combination of derivative products used the wrong way, and so the market collapsed rapidly. The shockwave reached Europe and other developed economies, generating a financial crisis that haunted Europe for several years.

Fast forward to 2021, the world still struggles with the pandemic, but the housing market in the United States is in an unprecedented boom. This is very good news for the domestic economy and also for other economies. After all, when America’s economy outperforms, the positive spillovers influence other economies too.

Recovery Stronger Than Expected As Suggested by Strong Housing Sector Activity

The COVID-19 pandemic triggered changes in consumer behavior. People learned that online shopping (for some products) is as good as going out and buying the product. And, cheaper.

Therefore, the chances are that most of the changes seen during the pandemic are here to stay. One of the most interesting changes affected the workplace. Those who can work from home have built a home office, for example.

Also, people fled cities for outdoor spaces. Or, they stopped using common transportation favoring personal cars.

As such, contrary to all expectations, the COVID-19 recession was unique as both the auto and the housing sectors performed well. In particular, the housing sector has seen tremendous growth, as America literally faces a shortage of new houses.

And lumber to build them.

The price of lumber broke above $1,000 as there is no lumber enough to satisfy the demand. For those unfamiliar with the commodities market, lumber is a product of timberland and is usually harvested in periods of rising prices.

This is such a period. However, the demand from the U.S. housing market is so strong that the futures market still points to higher lumber prices. Commodities are typically traded on futures exchanges, where the clearinghouse brings together buyers and sellers and settles the prices on a daily basis.

When the spot price exceeds the futures price, it is said that the market is in backwardation. The entire lumber futures curve is in backwardation – a bullish sign suggesting more upside is possible for the price of lumber.

Therefore, investors should expect more upside for the U.S. housing market and, thus, for the U.S. economy. Are we about to witness one of the biggest economic recoveries in history?




FXOpen Blog

 

[FXOpen Trader]

BTC and XRP – Recovery seen but further downside expected

BTC/USD

The price of Bitcoin has fallen by 20.4% measured from its all-time high of $64,791 made on the 14th of April to its lowest wick on the 17th when the price came down to $51,531. From there we have seen a recovery to $57,702 but then again the price started falling back down and is currently being traded at around $55,980.

On the hourly chart, you can see that the price made the majority of its decrease on the 17th which was the 5th wave from the descending impulse. This could be the first sub-wave of the higher degree downturn that we are to see in the market.

It broke down from some of the highly significant support levels both horizontal and the ascending triangle in which it was since the 21st of February. This ascending triangle could have been the ending diagonal which marked the completion of the five-wave impulse from March last year.

This is the overdue correction that the market needed to overcome in order to continue moving to the upside and is now likely to push the price further to the downside. However, this isn’t expected in a straight line. More likely we are to see now a corrective increase and a consolidation before another impulsive move to the downside of the equally strong amount.

Potentially we could see now an ABC correction out of which we are currently seeing the development of the B wave and in the upcoming days the C wave would make a higher high compared to Monday’s one but from there further lows would be expected below the $50,000 mark.




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[FXOpen Trader]

EUR/USD Gains Traction, USD/CHF Could Extend Losses

EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.1950 and 1.2000 resistance levels. USD/CHF is declining and it could dive if it breaks the 0.9125 support.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF

• 
  
• The Euro started a fresh increase after it settle above 1.1950 against the US Dollar.
• There is a key connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2000 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
• USD/CHF is following a bearish path below the 0.9200 support zone.
• There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.9170 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro formed a strong support base above the 1.1950 level against the US Dollar. As a result, the EUR/USD pair started a fresh increase and it broke many hurdles near the 1.1980 and 1.2000 levels.

The pair even surged above the 1.2040 level and settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. A high was formed near 1.2079 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting gains. It traded below the 1.2060 and 1.2050 levels.

There was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1942 swing low to 1.2079 high. However, the bulls are defending the 1.2030 support zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

The next major support is near the 1.2010 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1942 swing low to 1.2079 high.

There is also a key connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2000 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. On the upside, the pair is facing hurdles near the 1.2050 level. The next major resistance is near the 1.2080 level, above which the pair could rise above the 1.2100 zone.




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[FXOpen Trader]

LTC and EOS – Are we seeing the establishment of an uptrend?

LTC/USD

The price of Litecoin has been on the rise since Tuesday when it fell to $234 at its lowest point. It is currently being traded at $281 which is an increase of 21.45% from Tuesday and is still in an upward trajectory.

On the hourly chart, you can see that the price of Litecoin is currently sitting at the level of its Monday’s high and has found resistance, indicated but the wick on the seller’s side on the hourly candle. However, we have seen a breakout from the descending triangle which is why the momentum looks strong enough to push the price higher.

If we have seen the completion of the corrective move from the 17th, the next move could be the starting five-wave impulse to the upside that is going to make new highs. Another possibility could be that the price is forming the second sub-wave of the higher degree correction in which case the current rise would end as a three-wave formation. But in either way from here another high to around the $310 area would be expected.

From the pullback that would be anticipated after we are going to see which scenario is in play as if the price falls back below $280 again on the pullback, it would invalidate the possibility of the price forming a five-wave impulse. In that case another lower low could be seen below the $230 area but for now the chart of Litecoin looks bullish.






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[FXOpen Trader]

AUD/USD and NZD/USD Could Extend Losses

AUD/USD failed to clear the 0.7800 resistance and corrected lower. NZD/USD is likely to extend losses if there is a clear break below the 0.7150 support.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

• 
  
• The Aussie Dollar failed to gain strength above the 0.7800 level against the US Dollar.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7730 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
• NZD/USD corrected lower and it is now testing the 0.7150 support zone.
• There was a break below a major contracting triangle with support near 0.7180 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

After a steady increase, the Aussie Dollar struggled above the 0.7800 level against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair traded as high as 0.7815 on FXOpen and it recently started a fresh decline.

There was a break below the 0.7780 and 0.7750 support levels. The pair even settled below the 0.7750 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It traded as low as 0.7689 and it is now correcting losses.

It broke the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7764 swing high to 0.7689 low. On the upside, there is a major resistance forming near the 0.7725 and 0.7730 levels. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7730 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.

The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7764 swing high to 0.7689 low. The 50 hourly simple moving average is also near the trend line.

Therefore, a clear break above the trend line and 0.7730 is must for a steady increase. The next major resistance could be 0.7750, above which the price could rise towards the 0.7800 resistance.

Conversely, the pair could decline below the 0.7700 support zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.7700 and 0.7685 levels, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.7650 level.




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[FXOpen Trader]

March 2021 Top 10 PAMM Accounts Overview

You would not want to forget about investing at any time of year, as it is essential to prepare your portfolio, taking into account all the changes in FXOpen’s PAMM rating. More and more managers are joining the platform, and this PAMM overview will help investors navigate among their offers and choose the best ones to shape investment strategies.

There were 192 active managers with $2,908,613.00 on their FXOpen accounts in early May.

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[FXOpen Trader]

GBP/USD and GBP/JPY: British Pound Eyes Fresh Increase

GBP/USD found support near 1.3825 and it is now showing positive signs. GBP/JPY is stable above 149.40 and it is now facing hurdles near 150.00.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY

• 
  
• The British Pound tested the 1.3825 support zone and it is now recovering against the US Dollar.
• There was a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near 1.3885 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
• GBP/JPY is holding the main 149.40 and 149.20 support levels.
• There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 149.65 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the British Pound saw a steady decline below the 1.3950 support zone against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair even broke the 1.3880 support level.

However, the pair found support near the 1.3825 zone. A low was formed near 1.3823 on FXOpen and the pair recently started a fresh increase. It broke the 1.3850 and 1.3880 resistance levels.

There was also a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near 1.3885 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. Moreover, there was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the 1.3949 swing high to 1.3823 low.

The pair is now trading nicely above the 1.3750 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It is testing the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the 1.3949 swing high to 1.3823 low.

If there is a clear upside break above the 1.3900 and 1.3920 levels, there are chances of more upsides. In the stated case, the pair is likely to accelerate higher towards the 1.4000 resistance.

If there is a fresh decline, the previous resistance near 1.3880 or the 50 hourly simple moving average might provide support. If there are additional losses, the pair could decline towards the 1.3850 level.






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[FXOpen Trader]

FXOpen Launches Instant Bank Transfers in Vietnam and South Korea

Dear Clients,

FXOpen is pleased to announce that we've added a new method of depositing and withdrawing funds. Clients from Vietnam and South Korea can now carry out transactions via Instant Bank Transfers. Instant Bank Transfers are transactions made from an online bank account in a local currency.

To celebrate the launch, clients can deposit for free, paying 0% commission for the first month of use.

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[FXOpen Trader]

GDP Growth Follows Success In Vaccination Efforts

The week ahead is marked by two important central banks delivering their monetary policy statements – the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve in the United States. While the two events are crucial for Japanese yen and U.S. dollar traders, the market is also interested in what the GDP data in the United States and Canada will reveal.

Since the COVID-19 pandemic hit the world, the GDP or Gross Domestic Product fell sharply in all countries. For the first time, the entire world was in an economic recession.

Last November, the world found out for the first time that vaccines have promising results. Since that moment, a race against the clock started, with the price being not only the defeat of the virus but also a quick economic recovery.

Chinese GDP Growth Signals Strong Bounce in Developed Economies Too

Unfortunately, there are not enough vaccines for everybody at this point, but the situation gets better by the day. The more time passes, the more vaccines will be delivered throughout the world, and the faster the economic recovery will be.

However, because of the inequalities in vaccine deliveries, some countries will experience economic growth faster and stronger than others. Hence, their currencies will likely benefit from it, as well as the stock market.

The Chinese GDP grew by over 18% in the first quarter of the year, when compared to the same quarter a year ago. The bounce was much stronger than expected, and the chances are that the U.S. economic growth will also exceed expectations.

Next Thursday, the advanced GDP in the United States is expected to show that the U.S. economy grew by 6.5% in the first quarter of the year. Judging by how the Chinese economy performed, the chances are that the U.S. economy will also beat expectations.

One day earlier, Jerome Powell will have a hard time explaining to market participants why the Fed is not preparing to taper its asset purchases. As the chart above shows, America is one of the nations that lead in the vaccination race, and so the economic recovery is much stronger – why the need for easing?

To sum up, the bigger the economic expansion, the more difficult for the Fed to keep its policy unchanged. The tapering may be closer than market participants expect.




FXOpen Blog

 

[fx learnerr]

Trading Hours Schedule for the UK Early May Bank Holiday on 3 May

Dear Traders,

Due to the UK Early May Bank Holiday on 3rd May, you will experience the following changes in the trading hours schedule:

UK 100 Index (#UK100)

· Friday, April 30th: 01:00 - 23:00;

· Monday, May 3rd: trading closed;

· Tuesday, May 4th: opening at 03:00.

All other financial instruments will be traded as usual.

Please take these changes into consideration when planning your trading activities for the upcoming week.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

BTC and XRP – Strong bullish momentum seen

BTC/USD

The price of Bitcoin has been decreasing from the 14th of April when it reached $64,735 at its highest point. From there we have seen a decline of 27.56% measured to its lowest point made on the 25th which was at $46,896. A recovery of 16.8% followed as the price came up to $55,000 area on its highest point of the week so far. Currently, it is being traded slightly lower but is still in an upward trajectory.

On the hourly chart, you can see that the price made a three-wave decrease from the 14th of April which was most likely an WXY correction of the higher degree count. It ended with a double bottom with an impulsive rise that followed.

This could be an early indication that the price decrease ended and that we are seeing the development of the next starting impulse. However, we could have seen another corrective ABC to the upside from the 23rd which would be the corrective WXY continuation wave leading into a lower low.

We are now seeing the price looking for support above the significant horizontal support at $53,369 with a minor triangle forming, so from its breakout direction, we are to see which scenario gets validated.

If we see a breakout to the upside it could mean that the starting impulse is on the move, but if the price starting impulsively moving to the downside it could be an indication that the corrective ABC to the upside ended.




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[FXOpen Trader]

EUR/USD and EUR/JPY: Euro Remains Well Supported

EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.2000 and 1.2050 resistance levels. EUR/JPY also gained momentum and it is now trading well above 130.00.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and EUR/JPY

• 
  
• The Euro formed a base above 1.2000 and started a fresh increase above 1.2050.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2075 on the hourly chart.
• EUR/JPY is also trading in a positive zone above the 131.00 zone.
• There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near 131.25 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

There was a steady increase in the Euro started above the 1.1950 resistance against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair broke the 1.2000 and 1.2050 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

There was also a break above the 1.2100 zone and the pair settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. A high was formed at 1.2116 on FXOpen before there was a downside correction.

The pair traded as low as 1.2056 and it is now attempting a fresh increase. There was already a spike above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.2116 high to 1.2056 low. However, the pair is struggling to settle above the 1.2085 zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

The next major resistance is near the 1.2095 level. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.2116 high to 1.2056 low.

Any more gains could set the pace for a fresh high above the 1.2116 level in the near term. The next key resistance could be near the 1.2140 level. On the downside, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2075 on the hourly chart.

If there is a downside break, EUR/USD might continue to move down towards the 1.2050 support. Any more losses could open the doors for a test of the 1.2000 support zone in the near term.




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[FXOpen Trader]

LTC and EOS – Breakout seen but would it be confirmed?

LTC/USD

The price of Litecoin has been on the rise since the 26th of April when it fell down to $211. From there we have seen an increase of 26.4% as it came up to $266.6 at its highest point. It started moving sideways from yesterday’s high and is currently sitting slightly lower but is in an upward trajectory overall.

On the hourly chart, we can see that the price has started breakout out from the symmetrical triangle in which it was since yesterday’s high. This could be an early indication that the price is now headed further up. However, a confirmation is needed which could come as the hourly candle close above the territory of the symmetrical triangle and then a successful retest of its resistance for support

The previous descending move has definitely ended as a five-wave correction however it is still unclear how the current rise would end and which type of structure it could form. There are three possible scenarios in play. The first being that we are seeing the starting five-wave impulse in which case its third sub-waves 1st wave has developed. The next one is slightly negative and considered the rise from the 26th as the ABC correction with more upside potential for the C wave. The third one is the most negative one and implies that the ABC correction to the upside already ended in which case we are now seeing the start of the next descending move with the symmetrical triangle being its 2nd sub-wave.




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[FXOpen Trader]

Gold Price Remains At Risk, Oil Price Extends Rally

Gold price failed to clear the $1,800 resistance zone and started a fresh decline. Crude oil price is rising and it is showing a lot of positive signs above $64.50.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

• 
  
• Gold price failed to clear the $1,790 and $1,800 resistance levels against the US Dollar.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,788 on the hourly chart of gold.
• Crude oil price climbed higher nicely and it even broke the $65.00 resistance zone.
• There is a crucial bullish trend line forming with support near $64.30 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Earlier this week, gold price climbed higher above the $1,780 resistance against the US Dollar. However, it failed to clear the $1,790 and $1,800 resistance levels.

A high was formed near $1,789 on FXOpen before the price started a fresh decline. There was a break below the $1,780 and $1,765 support levels. The price even settled below the $1,780 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

A low was formed near $1,756 before the price recovered. It climbed above the $1,765 level. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $1,789 high to $1,756 low.

However, the price failed to clear the $1,780 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It also struggled near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $1,789 high to $1,756 low.

Moreover, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,788 on the hourly chart of gold. The price must clear the $1,780 resistance and the trend line to start a strong increase in the coming sessions.

If not, there is a risk of another decline below the $1,760 level. The first key support is near the $1,755 and $1,750 levels. Any more losses might call for a test of the $1,720 support.




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[FXOpen Trader]

GBP/USD Turns Red, EUR/GBP Eyes More Upsides

GBP/USD failed to test 1.4000 and started a fresh decline. EUR/GBP is showing positive signs and it is trading nicely above the 0.8675 support zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

• 
  
• The British Pound topped near the 1.3975 zone and started a fresh decline.
• There was a break below a key contracting triangle with support near 1.3885 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
• EUR/GBP started a fresh increase and it settled above the 0.8650 pivot level.
• There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.8695 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

After a steady increase above the 1.3900 level, the British Pound faced sellers against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair failed to test the 1.4000 resistance zone and started a fresh decline.

A high was formed at 1.3976 on FXOpen before the pair declined. It broke the 1.3920 and 1.3900 support levels. There was also a break below a key contracting triangle with support near 1.3885 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

The pair settled well below the 1.3850 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It traded as low as 1.3801 and it is now attempting an upside correction.

An initial resistance on the upside is near the 1.3840 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3976 high to 1.3801 low. The first major resistance is near the 1.3860 level.

The next major resistance is near the 1.3885 level. The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3976 high to 1.3801 low is also near 1.3885. A successful close above 1.3850 and a follow up move above 1.3885 could open the doors for a move towards the 1.4000 resistance.

Conversely, there is a risk of a fresh decline towards the 1.3800 support level. The next major support is near the 1.3780 level. Any more losses could initiate a drop towards the 1.3720 support zone.




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[FXOpen Trader]

Weak Dollar Despite Strong U.S. Economic Performance

The U.S. economy grew at 6.4% in the first quarter of the year, and it is in line to exceed the pre-pandemic growth level. The good news goes even further, as the growth in the first quarter exceeds the previous quarter’s growth of 4.3%.

However, the U.S. dollar did not rise on the news. In fact, for the entire month of April, the dollar traded with an offered tone. For instance, with the exception of the last trading day of the month, the EURUSD moved only higher, from 1.17 to over 1.21 in less than thirty days.

Fed Keeps the Accommodative Measures

One day before the GDP release, the Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) announced that it keeps the monetary policy accommodative despite the remarkable economic performance. As such, the Fed continues to buy $120 billion worth of assets every month, putting pressure on the dollar.

The households’ savings rate at the end of the first quarter was 21%, up from 13% in the last quarter of 2021. The uncertainty generated by the pandemic continues, as households keep stashing funds and postpone consumption.

However, the more people get a vaccine, the faster the U.S. economy will come back to normality. As such, the savings rate is expected to decline in the second quarter of the year, pushing the GDP even higher.

It all comes down to the stimulus checks received by households. As the chart above shows, the stimulus checks played an important role during the pandemic, but yet the U.S. consumer is not spending it entirely, as suggested by the high savings rate.

Moving forward, the trading month starts strongly with the Non-Farm Payrolls release scheduled next Friday. The market expects 975k new jobs to have been created in April and that the Unemployment Rate will decline to 5.7% from the previous 6%. However, the risk is that the data will be much better than expected, as suggested by the steady economic growth seen in the first quarter.

As for the dollar, at one point, it should start reflecting the economic reality. Moreover, if the NFP exceeds expectations, the Fed will have a hard time keeping its current monetary policy stance and will be forced to announce the tapering of its asset purchases sooner than expected.




FXOpen Blog

 

[FXOpen Trader]

BTC and XRP – Retracement seen but further upside expected

BTC/USD

The price of Bitcoin has been on a decline from yesterday’s high at $59,000 and has made a 6.69% decrease measured to its lowest point today at $55.084. Now it is sitting slightly higher but is again looking like its struggling to keep up the recovery.

On the hourly chart, you can see that the price of Bitcoin was on the rise since the 26th of April when an ascending triangle was made. Yesterday, we saw a breakout to the downside from the triangles support, which could imply that this ascending move ended as the five-wave increase. If this is true then the five-wave move was most likely a leading diagonal from the next impulsive move to the upside as the previous correction of the higher degree ended.

Now we could be seeing the 2nd sub-wave of the next move to the upside which would retrace the price of Bitcoin to around $53,000 area most optimally where the 0.5 Fibonacci level is. This Fib level is standing in the vicinity of the significant horizontal support at $53,300 which might hold the price, but we could see the price going further down to the $51,221 area where the next one is.

After this retracement ends, according to the primary count, we are to see further uptrend continuation and new highs for Bitcoin.




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[FXOpen Trader]

EUR/USD is Facing Hurdles, USD/JPY Remains Elevated

EUR/USD failed to stay above the 1.2100 zone and corrected lower. USD/JPY is trading in a positive zone above 109.00 and it is now approaching a major breakout.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY

• 
  
• The Euro started a fresh decline from well above the 1.2100 pivot level.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2040 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
• USD/JPY started a decent increase above the 108.50 and 109.00 resistance levels.
• There is a major breakout pattern forming with resistance near 109.38 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

After a spike above the 1.2125 level, the Euro faced a fresh round of selling against the US Dollar. As a result, the EUR/USD pair started a fresh decline below the 1.2100 pivot level.

The pair broke a few key supports near 1.2080 and 1.2050. It even spiked below the 1.2000 level and settled well below the 50 hourly simple moving average. A low is formed near 1.1999 on FXOpen and the pair is correcting higher.

There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.2075 high to 1.1999 low. The first major resistance on the upside is near the 1.2035 level.

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2040 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.2075 high to 1.1999 low.

The 50 hourly simple moving average is also near the 1.2035 zone to act as a hurdle. If there is an upside break above the 50 hourly simple moving average and the trend line, the pair could rise further towards the 1.2100 pivot level.

If not, there is a risk of more downsides below 1.2010. The main support is near 1.2000. A close below 1.2000 could open the doors for a move towards the 1.1920 support.




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[FXOpen Trader]

LTC and EOS – New highs ahead

LTC/USD

The price of Litecoin has been on the rise since the 26th of April when it was being traded at $214. We have seen an increase of 69.8% measured to its highest point of $364 made yesterday. Currently, it is being traded slightly lower but is now again started moving to the upside again.

On the hourly chart, you can see that the price has made an interaction with the significant ascending trendline which was the upward channel formed from November last year. As the price found resistance a minor pullback was made but the price is now expected to continue increasing further to the upside and make a breakout above the trendline. This means that a higher high would be expected in the vicinity of the $380 which would be the ending wave from the 3r wave of the higher degree count.

If this is true then the retest of the ascending resistance for support would be the 4th wave of the same degree that is going to look out of support before further upside movement potentially to the $440 area. We could see the price going a bit more to the downside if the lower degree 4th wave hasn’t ended fully but this isn’t as likely considering the bullish momentum seen.




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[FXOpen Trader]

Gold Price Rallies Above $1,800, Oil Price Prepares For Next Move

Gold price started a fresh increase and it cleared the $1,800 resistance zone. Crude oil price is trading nicely above $64.50 and it is likely setting up for the next move.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

• 
  
• Gold price gained pace above the $1,790 and $1,800 resistance levels against the US Dollar.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $1,805 on the hourly chart of gold.
• Crude oil price climbed higher and tested the $66.65 zone before correcting lower.
• There is a crucial contracting triangle forming with support near $64.70 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

This week, gold price formed a strong support base above the $1,760 level against the US Dollar. As a result, there was a fresh increase above the $1,780 and $1,800 resistance levels.

The price even settled above the $1,800 zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It spiked above the $1,815 level and a high was formed near $1,818 on FXOpen. The price is now consolidating near the $1,815 level.

An initial support on the downside is near the $1,805 zone. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near $1,805 on the hourly chart of gold.

The trend line is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $1,770 low to $1,818 high. If there are more losses, the price could decline towards the $1,800 level. The next key support could be near the $1,795 level.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $1,770 low to $1,818 high is also near the $1,795 zone. Besides, the 50 hourly simple moving average is near the $1,792 level.

On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $1,818 and $1,820 levels. A clear break above the $1,820 level may possibly open the doors for a move towards the $1,850 level.




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