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GBP/USD Analysis: Bearish Signals Ahead​



Solid ECN—The GBP/USD pair dipped from 1.270, a development in the U.S. price, which was expected because the stochastic oscillator was overbought. Additionally, the technical indicators suggest the bear market should prevail, with the RSI below zero and the price below the Ichimoku Cloud.

From a technical standpoint, the key resistance level is 1.270. The downtrend will likely resume if the price remains below this level. In this scenario, the next bearish target could be at 1.265. Furthermore, if the selling pressure exceeds 1.265, the next bearish barrier will be 1.263.

The key resistance is at 1.270. The bearish outlook should be invalidated if the bulls push the price beyond 1.270.​
 

Bitcoin Bearish Trend Analysis​



Solid ECN—Bitcoin is experiencing a bear market, trading below $62,724. Technical indicators suggest that the downtrend is likely to continue.

From a technical standpoint, the immediate resistance is at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. If the price stays below this, it will likely test the $58,213 support level.

On the other hand, if the price breaks above the descending trendline on the 4-hour chart, the bear market could end. In this case, the next bullish resistance would be at the 61.8% Fibonacci level.​
 

USD/CNH Bullish Outlook Above 7.29​



Solid ECN—The USD/CNH dip from 7.3 was expected because the stochastic oscillator was hovering in overbought territory. In today's trading session, the pair tested the 7.29 immediate support, while technical indicators suggest the downtrend might resume, and the price might cross below the immediate resistance.

From a technical standpoint, the primary trend is bullish. The uptrend will likely resume if the USD/CNH price holds above 7.29. If this scenario unfolds, the 7.3 immediate resistance will be tested again.

Conversely, if the bears (sellers) drive the price below the 7.29 resistance, the consolidation phase could extend to lower supply zones, starting with the 7.285, backed by the Ichimoku cloud.​
 

EUR/USD Nears Overbought After Bullish Run​



The EUR/USD currency pair returns from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.076. The technical indicators suggest the market is bullish but might become overbought soon.

Going long at the current price is not recommended from a technical standpoint because the stochastic oscillator almost crosses overbought territory. That said, the price will likely bounce from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level to the 23.6% retracement level at 1.0725. This level will provide a decent entry point for joining the bull market.

Please note the key resistance level is at 1.076; the uptrend will resume if bulls stabilize above this level. Conversely, if the price dips below 1.072, the bullish scenario should be invalidated accordingly.​
 

USD/CHF Alert: Potential Dip Expected​



Solid ECN—The USD/CHF price is currently in a strong upward trend, clinging to the upper boundary of the bullish flag pattern. The recent price movements have exceeded the Bollinger Bands, and momentum indicators such as the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator suggest that the market might soon be overbought. Therefore, it is advisable not to enter a long position at the current price, as a dip to test the support levels at 1.3730 and 1.3709 is likely.

These support levels could offer a favorable entry point into the ongoing bull market. Traders and investors should watch these levels for bullish candlestick patterns, such as the hammer or bullish engulfing pattern.

The overall trend remains bullish as long as the USD/CHF pair trades within the bullish flag pattern and stays above the Ichimoku cloud level at 1.369.​
 

Yen Rebounds Amid Intervention Fears​



Solid ECN—The Japanese yen strengthened past 161 per dollar, recovering slightly from its 38-year lows. This improvement came mainly due to a weaker dollar after soft US economic data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates as soon as September.

Additionally, fears of another government intervention supported the yen. Japanese authorities had spent nearly 10 trillion yen from late April to late May to bolster the yen after it fell below 160 per dollar.

Significant interest rate differences between Japan and other major economies had pressured the yen, leading investors to borrow and invest in higher-yielded currencies.

Furthermore, the Bank of Japan's slow approach to changing monetary policy weighed the yen. However, there is increasing speculation that the BOJ might raise rates at its next policy meeting in late July. Moreover, the BOJ announced it would release a plan to wind down its bond-buying program this month.​
 

EUR/USD Forecast: Bulls Eye 1.0844​



Solid ECN—EUR/USD tests the immediate resistance at 1.082. The technical indicators give mixed signals, with the Awesome Oscillator (AO) and stochastic oscillator being bearish. On the other hand, the RSI and Heiken Ashi suggest the bullish market will resume.

From a technical perspective, the ascending trendline and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.080 play critical roles as support. The bull market remains intact as long as the pair trades above it. In this scenario, if the price exceeds the immediate resistance at 1.082, the next bullish target will be the July 8 high at 1.0844.

Conversely, if the EUR/USD price dips below the key support level at 1.080, the bull market should be invalidated, and the bears (sellers) will likely push the price down to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.077.​
 

EUR/USD Analysis - 11-July-2024​



Solid ECN—The European currency resumed its uptrend trajectory against the U.S. Dollar in today's trading session as expected. However, the EUR/USD pair is in an overbought state as both stochastic and RSI (14) are above 80 and 70.

From a technical standpoint, the price might consolidate near the 50% followed by the 61.8% Fibonacci level before the uptrend resumes. Traders and investors should monitor the 1.085 level for bullish signals such as a bullish engulfing candlestick or a hammer candlestick pattern.

Conversely, if the price dips below the 61.8% Fibonacci level, the bull market should be invalidated.​
 

AUD/USD Uptrend Resumes above 0.675​

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Solid ECN—The Australian dollar bounced from an ascending trendline against the U.S. Dollar from the immediate resistance at 0.675. The technical indicators provide mixed signals, mostly because all technical tools are lagging. That said, from a technical perspective, the AUD/USD is in a bull market because the currency pair trades in a bullish channel.

If the immediate resistance holds, the next bullish target will be testing the key resistance level at 0.679.

Conversely, if the price dips below 0.675, the next support area will be 0.672, a supply zone backed by the Ichimoku Cloud.​
 

Gold Technical Analysis - 12-July-2024​



Solid ECN—XAU/USD dips from $2,424 as expected since the RSI 14 and the Stochastic oscillator were in oversold territory. With the bullish primary trend, the consolidation phase can provide new opportunities for traders and investors to find a decent bid to join the bull market.

The $2,392 and $2,387 levels offer new entry points. That said, traders should monitor these supply zones for bullish candlestick patterns, such as a hammer or a bullish engulfing pattern.

Please note that if the bears close below $2,387, the consolidation phase could extend to $2,370, a support area backed by the Ichimoku Cloud.​
 

AUD/USD Analysis: AO Signals Twin Peaks​



Solid ECN—The AUD/USD pair is in an uptrend, trading above the $0.6761 immediate resistance and the ascending trendline. The immediate resistance is at 0.6767, Friday's peak. Interestingly, the awesome oscillator signals twin peaks, which is a bullish signal if the bar turns green again.

From a technical standpoint, if the bulls close above the 0.6767 immediate resistance, the uptrend will likely resume, and the next bullish target will be at 0.6792, followed by July's all-time high at 0.6801.

Conversely, a dip below the immediate resistance at 0.6761 could extend to 0.6752. Furthermore, if the selling pressure exceeds 0.6752, the bullish scenario should be invalidated, and the trend should be considered reversed from a bull market to a bear market.​
 

USD/JPY Analysis: Bears Face Key Resistance​



Solid ECN—The USD/JPY currency pair tested the 157.6 resistance level as shown in the daily chart. The technical indicators are bearish, but if the bulls (buyers) can hold the price above the key resistance level at 157.6, the uptrend will likely resume and initially target 160.3.

Conversely, if the price dips below the key resistance, the bearish momentum could target the next support level at 155.6.​
 

USD/CHF Update: Bears Eyeing Key Resistance Levels​



Solid ECN—The USD/CHF pair trades within a bearish flag pattern and is aligned with the 50-period simple moving average, highlighting a pronounced downtrend. Despite the Awesome Oscillator bars turning green, they remain below the signal line, indicating a weakening of the bearish trend.

From a technical perspective, the primary trend remains bearish as long as the pair stays below the descending trendline. In this scenario, sellers will likely test the 0.891 resistance level again. Should the selling pressure surpass 0.891, the next resistance area would be at 0.888.

On the other hand, if buyers manage to close and stabilize the price above the descending trendline, the bearish trend would be invalidated. This would signify a reversal from a bear market to a bull market.​
 

DAX 30 Index Tests Key Fibonacci Level​



Solid ECN—The DAX 30 Index experienced a decline during today's trading session, reaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $18,429. Technical indicators suggest a bearish market trend, with potential signs of being oversold.

From a technical perspective, entering short positions in an oversold market is inadvisable. Consequently, traders and investors are encouraged to await a correction near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. At this point, a bearish engulfing pattern should be observed before considering joining the bear market.

Alternatively, should the price stabilize above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, an upward movement towards the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $18,661 is anticipated.​
 

WTI Crude Oil Nears Crucial Resistance at $80.6​



Solid ECN—WTI Crude Oil is currently oversold, testing a critical resistance level at $80.1. The Awesome Oscillator indicates a prevailing bear market; however, the RSI 14 and Stochastic Oscillator signal an oversold market, suggesting a consolidation phase may be imminent.

Traders and investors are advised to wait for the oil price to recover some of its recent losses, as shorting a market with intense selling pressure is not advisable.

Nonetheless, the oil price may rebound to test the immediate resistance at the 23.6% Fibonacci level of $80.6, a level reinforced by the low on July 15. It is essential to monitor the $80.6 demand area for bearish candlestick signals.

Please note that if the bulls (buyers) close and stabilize the price above the 23.6% Fibonacci level, the next key resistance will be $81.​
 

USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Target Set at 155.6​



Solid ECN—The USD/JPY price has fallen below the ascending trendline and the 157.6 resistance level, currently trading around 157.0 in today's session.

Technical indicators on the daily chart suggest that the downtrend will likely resume following this breakout. From a technical standpoint, the immediate resistance is at 158.8. With the price remaining below this level, the next bearish target is anticipated at the 155.6 resistance.

However, should the USD/JPY price rise above the immediate resistance, the bearish scenario will be invalidated, potentially paving the way for a bullish advance toward the 160.3 resistance.​
 

Ethereum Tests 61.8% Fibonacci Level​



Solid ECN—Ethereum trades in a bullish flag pattern, testing the 61.8% Fibonacci level. The momentum indicators suggest the ETH/USD market is overbought. Therefore, we expect the price to consolidate near the lower line of the ascending trendline.

Retail traders can find new, low-risk opportunities to join the bull market if the price dips to near the middle line of the Donchian channel, at approximately $3,345. Consequently, we suggest waiting patiently for the market to consolidate and monitor the key support levels for bullish signals.

However, the bull market should be invalidated if the price dips below the ascending trendline.​
 

Bearish Momentum in EUR/USD Gains Strength​



Solid ECN—The EUR/USD currency pair is in an overbought state, trading at about 1.093 and testing the immediate resistance at 1.0922. The stochastic oscillator is above 80 and declining, indicating that bearish momentum is gaining strength.

It is likely for the bears to dip the price to test the ascending trendline before the uptrend resumes. If the price dips below the trendline, the next support level will be 1.0870.​
 

Silver's Bearish Trend: Key Levels to Watch​



Solid ECN—Silver's short-term trend direction is bearish, trading in a bearish flag, slightly above the 100-period simple moving average. The XAG/USD pair is testing the 38.2% Fibonacci at $30.5 in the current session, with technical indicators suggesting the downtrend should resume.

The immediate resistance is at $30.5. The downtrend will likely resume if the price remains below this barrier. In this scenario, the sellers could initially target the lower line of the bearish flag.

On the flip side, if the bulls (buyers) close and stabilize the price above the immediate resistance, the pullback that began from the 50% Fibonacci could result in the Silver price surging and targeting the 23.6% Fibonacci at $30.9.​
 

Ethereum's Critical Levels: $3,390 Support, $3,528 Resistance​



Solid ECN—Ethereum trades sideways between the immediate support at $3,390 and the immediate resistance at $3,528. As of writing, the ETH/USD pair is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, backed by the ascending trendline.

The technical indicators suggest the sideways market might resume with mildly bearish tendencies. Interestingly, the 4-hour chart has formed an inverted hammer, signaling a potential trend reversal. That said, if the ETH/USD price closes above the median line of the Donchian channel, the next bullish target will be July's all-time high at $3,528.

Conversely, a close below the immediate support at $3,390 will likely pause the bull market, and the price could dip to the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $3,253.​
 

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