My personal FX pairs and XAUUSD analysis

[DominicWAlsh]

Dollar Index (#DXY): Important Breakout

So the range, that we spotted earlier on Dollar Index, is finally broken.
The market successfully closed above that on a daily.

Now a further bullish continuation is expected.
Next target - 105.1

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#CADJPY: Bullish Outlook Explained

CADJPY broke and closed above a wide horizontal supply zone on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone now.

Probabilities will be high that the price will bounce from that.
Next resistance - 100.95

 

[DominicWAlsh]

EURNZD: Classic Bullish Setup

EURNZD broke and closed above a neckline of a huge ascending triangle formation on a daily.
Watch the underlined blue zone carefully. It is a contracting buy zone based on a trend line and a broken neckline.

I will expect a bullish wave from that.
Next resistance - 0.728

 

[DominicWAlsh]

USDJPY: Key Levels to Watch This Week

Here is my fresh structure analysis for USDJPY.

Resistance 1: 134.48 - 135.475 area
Resistance 2: 137.6 - 138.6 area

Support 1: 132.6 - 132.9 area
Support 2: 129.7 - 131.05 area
Support 3: 127.2 - 128.2 area

Consider these structures for pullback, breakout trading.

 

[DominicWAlsh]

Dollar Index (#DXY): Your Detailed Trading Plan

We have spotted earlier a confirmed structure breakout on Dollar Index.
The market is retesting that at the moment.

To catch a bullish move from that with a confirmation, watch a double-bottom pattern on the 4H time frame.

104.05 - 104.09 is its neckline.
Wait for its bullish breakout; we need a 4H candle close above that to confirm the violation.

A bullish continuation will be expected then to 104.55.

If the price sets a new lower low, the setup will become invalid.

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#CADJPY: Bullish Outlook Explained

CADJPY broke and closed above a solid horizontal supply zone on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone.

Probabilities are high that a bullish wave will initiate from that.
The goal for buyers - 101.0

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#NZDJPY: Pullback From Key Level

NZDJPY is taking off from key support.
The price formed a double bottom on that and broke its neckline.

Goals: 84.35 / 84.8

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#USDCAD: Important Breakout

USDCAD suddenly bounced yesterday.
The price formed a high momentum bullish candle, breaking a solid horizontal resistance and a primary falling trend line.

I believe that bulls may push the price much higher now.
Next goal - 1.366

 

[DominicWAlsh]

[Here’s why you need proper risk management in trading]

Imagine:

There are two traders, John and Sally.

They both start with a $1,000 account
John is an aggressive trader and he risks $250 on each trade.

Sally is a conservative trader and she risks $20 on each trade.

Both adopt a trading strategy that wins 50% of the time with an average of 1:2 risk to reward.

Over the next 8 trades, the outcomes are Lose Lose Lose Lose Win Win Win Win.

Here’s the outcome for John:

-$250 -$250 -$250 -$250 = BLOW UP

Here’s the outcome for Sally:

-$20 -$20 -$20 -$20 +$40 +$40 +$40 +$40 = +$80

Do you see the power of risk management?

So here’s the deal:

As a trader, you’ll encounter losses regularly.

But with proper risk management, you can contain these losses till it feels like an “ant bite”.

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#CADJPY: Pullback From Key Level

CADJPY reached a solid horizontal key level yesterday.
The price formed an inverted head & shoulders pattern on that on 1H time frame.
Its neckline was broken then.

I expect a bullish move to 100.0 / 100.25

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#GBPAUD: Important Breakout

GBPAUD was stuck for some time on 1.75 - 1.763 horizontal supply area.
That structure was finally broken this week.
It turned in a demand zone now.

I will expect a bullish wave from that at least to 1.788

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#EURGBP: Time to Fall

EURGBP has nicely respected a wide 4H horizontal supply area.
The price formed a triple top pattern on that and broke its neckline then.

I expect a bearish move to 0.8798 / 0.8789

 

[DominicWAlsh]

Nasdaq-100 Index (#US100) Short Trade Explained

Nasdaq Index is approaching a key daily structure resistance.
The price has formed a descending triangle formation on that on 1H time frame.
Its neckline was broken, and an hourly candle closed below that, confirming a highly probable coming bearish movement.

Next support: 12000

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#USDJPY: Waiting For a Breakout

USDJPY is testing a solid horizontal daily resistance.
If the price breaks and closes above 134.5 - 135.5 area,
it will push the market much higher.

The next goal for buyers will be 137.6 level.

 

[DominicWAlsh]

Gold (#XAUUSD): The Breakout!

So it turned out that Gold dropped again.
After the release of US fundamentals on Friday,
bears started to push.

The price managed to close below a key daily horizontal structure support cluster.
It turned into resistance now.

Probabilities are high, and the market will keep falling next week.
Next support - 1787

 

[DominicWAlsh]

Dollar Index (#DXY): Key Levels to Watch

Here is my latest structure analysis for Dollar Index.

Resistance 1: 105.3 - 105.8 area
Resistance 2: 106.8 - 107.2 area
Resistance 3: 107.80 - 108 area

Support 1: 103.6 - 103.95 area
Support 2: 102.25 - 103.2 area

Vertical Support 1: rising trend line

Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#USDJPY: Bulls May Push Higher

Update for my Friday's post on USDJPY.
The price managed to close above a solid resistance cluster.
It turned into a support now.

The bullish rally will most likely continue.
Next resistance - 137.8

Wait for an occasional retest of a broken structure for safer entries.

 

[DominicWAlsh]

Gold (#XAUUSD): Time To Sell

Gold is retesting a recently broken structure.
The price has nicely respected a confluence point based on the underlined resistance and 618 retracement of the last bearish impulse.

As the extra confirmation, the price formed a double top pattern.

I expect a bearish move to 1808 / 1801

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#USDCAD: Key Levels to Watch This Week

Here is my latest structure analysis for USDCAD.

Resistance 1: 1.366 - 1.3707 area
Resistance 2: 1.3745 - 1.381 area

Support 1: 1.347 - 1.352 area
Support 2: 1.3225 - 1.329 area

Vertical Support 1: major falling trend line .

Consider these structures for pullback or breakout trading strategy.

 

[DominicWAlsh]

#EURCAD: Detailed Technical Outlook

Here is the wave analysis for EURCAD.

The market is currently consolidating with a horizontal trading range on a weekly, after a strong bullish impulse.
1.46 - 1.465 is the resistance of the range,
1.423 - 1.43 is its support.

The upper boundary of the range matches perfectly with a key weekly resistance.

Depending on the reaction of the price to the boundaries of the range, I see 2 potential scenarios:
If the price breaks and closes above the resistance of the range, one more bullish wave will be expected.
While, a bearish breakout of the support of the range will most likely initiate a correctional movement.

Wait for a breakout and then follow the market.