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Best Prices to Enter Gold Market with Minimum Risk

Gold bounced from the July's high of $1,987 and is currently testing the trendline that acts as support for the XAUUSD. The RSI indicator is currently below the 50 line and has room to reach the 30 level. Therefore, the downward momentum of the yellow metal may continue in the current trading session, and the bears may be able to challenge the trendline.

The S1 support offers supply for buyers in the asset, as evidenced by the long wick shadow and the bullish engulfing pattern, which signals that bulls are leading the price. If the bullish scenario is correct, the bulls' first target would be the first resistance around $1,980.



However, traders should note that the best prices to enter the market with the minimum risk are at the support level of $1,940. If this level breaks, the gold price could dump to the next support around $1,921.​
 
Gold Price Update: Double Bottom Pattern in Play

Following up on yesterday’s analysis, the XAUUSD pair has tested the support level of $1,940 and is currently challenging the broken trendline on the 4-hour chart, which now acts as resistance. Despite the bears’ efforts, they were unable to close below the low of July 27th, and the price bounced back from that zone. This could potentially lead to the formation of a double bottom pattern.

If the price breaks above $1,952, it would provide an opportunity for the bulls to push the price above the trendline and target the pivot point at $1,961.



On the other hand, S1 remains a key factor in maintaining a bullish bias. If it breaks, the path towards S2 at $1,921 will be cleared. We recommend keeping an eye on minor resistance levels and monitoring market behavior around these support and resistance areas.

A double bottom pattern in forex is a bullish reversal pattern that comprises of two distinct bottoms of similar width and height, below a resistance level (the neckline), giving it the shape of a "W"1. The first bottom forms immediately after a strong downtrend. The price then retraces to the neckline and then falls back to the downside.​
 
GBPUSD Tests 1.26 Support, Bulls Ready for Reversal

The GBPUSD currency pair is currently trading below the broken trendline, around 1.2696. At the moment, the bears are testing the support area, which extends from 1.2681 to 1.26. This support zone is clearly shown in green on the GBPUSD daily time frame. Interestingly, this support was tested once on June 29, and the bullish trend extended its legs to as high as 1.3141 until July 13.



If we take a closer look by zooming into the 4-hour time frame, we can see a long-wick candlestick. This signals a possibility of a trend reversal or an exhaustion in the bearish bias from July 13. Please note, the green area acts as the supply zone all the way down to S1 support at 1.261. Consequently, there is a high chance for the bulls to regain control if the latter level holds.



On the other hand, for the bears to keep their bearish bias valid, they have to close below the S1 barrier. HubuFX suggests monitoring the price action in the green zone closely before executing a new order or exiting a current short trade.​
 
USDCAD Resistance at 1.3386, Bounce to 1.332 Possible

On August 2, the USDCAD pair broke out of its channel and surged higher after retesting it. It is currently trading near the resistance at July’s higher highs of 1.3386, which also coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. The RSI indicator is hovering in the overbought area, signaling potential exhaustion in the trend or a possible trend reversal with a double top pattern.

Hubufx recommends closely monitoring price action and candlestick patterns around the 1.3388 resistance level. If the resistance holds, the market could bounce to 1.332, followed by 1.329.



If the USDCAD pair closes above 1.3386, it would indicate a continuation of the upward trend. In this scenario, buyers should exercise patience and wait for the market to retest this level before entering a long position. By waiting for a retest, professional traders can minimize their risk and increase the potential outcome of their trade.​
 
AUDUSD: Is the Uptrend Over?

The AUDUSD currency pair is currently trading at around 0.6549. Recently, the pair bounced off the resistance level at 0.6589 and formed a doji candlestick pattern on the 4-hour time frame. This pattern suggests a bearish bias in the market. It is important to note that the bearish trend remains valid as long as the price stays below the resistance level of 0.65959. If this scenario plays out, the downward momentum could continue, with the price potentially targeting May's lower lows in the range of 0.6492 to 0.6445.



On the other hand, if the price breaks above the resistance level of 0.6595, we could see a continuation of the correction. In this case, the price of the asset may rise to test the next resistance level at 0.6638.

In summary, traders should keep an eye on key levels of support and resistance when making their trading decisions for the AUDUSD currency pair. A break above or below these levels could signal a potential change in market direction.​

According to the latest news, the AUDUSD pair is preparing to extend losses below the immediate support of 0.6595 as the United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reports that employment additions were higher than expectations. The US labor market witnessed an addition of fresh 324K private payrolls, significantly higher than the estimates of 189K but lower than the former release of 497K. The AUDUSD broke below the key support area at 0.6600 and tumbled to 0.6527, reaching the lowest level since June 1. The decline added negative pressure to the Aussie, which still persists. The pair is currently looking for the next support.​
 
EURUSD: Downtrend Continues, But Bulls Have a Chance at R2

The EURUSD pair is trading in a downtrend and has broken below the 55 Moving Average and the pivot line at 1.099. This suggests that the decline is likely to continue, with the next target being S1 at 1.093 and S2 at 1.086. These levels coincide with the lower line of the channel.



Overall, the outlook for EURUSD is bearish, but there are some bullish factors that could support the price. The 1.035 and 1.1049 levels provide support, and if the price closes above this zone, the bulls could target R2 at 1.112. Traders should be cautious and wait for a clear breakout before taking a position.​


Fundamental factors for EURUSD:
  • ECB President Lagarde to speak at Jackson Hole symposium. ECB President Christine Lagarde will be speaking at the Jackson Hole symposium today. Her speech is closely watched by markets for any clues about the future of monetary policy in the eurozone.
  • German industrial production data. German industrial production data for July is due to be released today. Economists are expecting a decline of 0.5% from the previous month. A weak reading could weigh on the euro.
  • US retail sales data. US retail sales data for July is due to be released tomorrow. Economists are expecting a strong increase of 0.8% from the previous month. A strong reading could boost the dollar.
 
XAUUSD Bulls Must Hold Above Trend Line and $1,916

The XAUUSD pair is currently trading above an ascending trend line, hovering around $1941. Gold faces minor resistance at $1,951, which serves as a pivot point for the market to potentially shift from a bearish to a bullish bias. If gold can hold above the trend line, it has a bullish outlook with the potential to target and test resistance at $1980. However, it's important to note that the bulls must keep XAUUSD above both the trend line and support at $1,916.



On the flip side, if bears manage to close below support at $1,916, the decline may continue to previous lower highs around $1,900, followed by support 2 at $1,866.
Noteworthy
China's gold imports rise in June. China's gold imports rose in June, as the country's demand for the precious metal remained strong. Imports rose to 89.4 tonnes in June, up from 78.4 tonnes in May. This was the highest level of imports since March 2022. China is the world's largest gold consumer.​
 
Bitcoin Analysis: Key Levels to Watch

The BTCUSD is currently trading above the 28,099 support level within a declining channel. Despite the bearish channel, the overall outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish. However, in order for this bullish trend to continue, the bulls must break out of the channel and surpass the key psychological level of 30,000. If this scenario plays out, the BTCUSD pair could target 31,111 and test the previous high for a break.

Market uncertainty can be observed by analyzing the candlestick patterns on the daily time frame. Over the past 11 days, a mix of doji candles and long wick shadow candles have formed, indicating indecision among traders.



On the other hand, if bears manage to close below the 28,099 support level, the BTCUSD price could fall to 26,968 followed by 25,000. As such, HubuFX's analysis team suggests keeping a close eye on market behavior within the downward channel.

In summary, while the overall outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, there are key levels to watch on both the upside and downside. A breakout above 30,000 could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a close below 28,099 could indicate further downside potential. Traders should remain vigilant and monitor market behavior closely.​
 
USDJPY Surges Towards Previous High

The USDJPY currency pair recently experienced a bounce from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This bullish wave was initiated by a long wick shadow candlestick pattern in the 4-hour time frame. As a result, the pair is now surging towards its previous high of around 144.0.



In addition, the RSI indicator is currently hovering above the 50 level, indicating that there is still room for it to reach the 70 level or enter the overbought zone. This suggests that the market expects the USDJPY to continue its upward trend and test the 144.0 resistance level in the next trading session at least.



When looking at the daily time frame, the outlook for the USDJPY remains bullish. The next major resistance level is R1 at 145.71. Furthermore, machine learning indicators signal that bulls are in control of the market. A dip to the pivot point could provide an opportunity for buyers to go long on the currency pair.​
 
EURUSD May Break the Channel as RSI Indicator Crosses Signal Line

The EURUSD currency pair has recently responded to the support level at 1.093. It is now testing the weekly pivot at 1.099, which coincides with the upper band of the declining channel in the 4-hour time frame. The RSI indicator has crossed the signal line and is hovering above the 50 line. This suggests that the rise that started yesterday may lead to a break of the channel upward.



It is important to note that horizontal support and resistance levels are generally considered more valid and reliable than trend lines or channels. With this in mind, the main resistance level for bulls is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is around 1.105. As long as this level is not breached, the market outlook will remain bearish. The decline may continue to test the previous low around 1.093, followed by 1.086.​

What is a Channel in Forex Technical Analysis?

In forex technical analysis, a channel is a trading range. It is defined by two lines: a trend line and a concurrent line. These lines are plotted through opposite peaks or troughs. There are three types of channels based on price direction: ascending, descending, and sideways (also known as ranging). Channels are commonly used in technical analysis to confirm trends and identify breakouts and reversals.​
 
Bullish Outlook for Bitcoin After Channel Break

Recently, Bitcoin broke through its channel and tested the significant $30,000 psychological level. After this break, the outlook for Bitcoin has become increasingly bullish. In fact, the BTCUSD pair has returned to test the broken channel in the 4H time frame, which now acts as support. Additionally, the pivot point is located at 29,183 and with a hold above this level, there is a high chance that we will witness a rise to the 30,739 resistance level.



Furthermore, the dip that occurred a few hours ago provides buyers with an opportunity to enter their buy orders in the market at a cheaper price. Moreover, with the RSI hovering above the signal level, there is strong support for the bullish scenario. Overall, the current market conditions present an attractive opportunity for buyers to enter the market and potentially profit from a rise in Bitcoin's value.​
 
EURUSD Trading Below Middle Line of Declining Channel

The EURUSD currency pair is currently experiencing a downward trend, trading below the middle line of the declining channel at approximately 1.0920. The bears have managed to close under the 1.0915 support level, and the market is now testing this level as it acts as resistance. The long wick of the candlestick and the RSI indicator, which hovers below the 50 signal line, both indicate that the bears are still in control. As a result, another drop to the 1.08833 support level is possible.



In summary, the outlook for the EURUSD currency pair remains bearish as long as it continues to trade within the downward channel.​
 
GBPUSD Analysis From Daily to 4-Hour Charts

Upon a detailed examination of the GBPUSD daily chart, it's evident that the trend has shifted sideways following the pair's break from the upward channel. The resistance zone is currently situated at 1.26, a critical level that the market must surpass to maintain the downward trend initiated on July 14th.



Taking a closer look at the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that GBPUSD has managed to close above the 1.2773 pivot and exit the downward channel. This development has led to an increase in bearish pressure, causing the currency pair to test the previously broken resistance, which now serves as a minor support. The primary resistance is firmly established at 1.2785. As long as this level remains intact, we can consider the downtrend to be valid. Consequently, we can anticipate the market would target the 1.26 support and potentially attempting to breach this level.

 
Navigating the XAUUSD Downtrend: Key Levels to Watch

The XAUUSD, or gold price, has been on a downward trend. This happened after the upward trendline was broken. The decline in gold prices slowed when it reached a significant support level at $1894.6, which is just below the 50% mark of the Fibonacci retracement tool. Please note, the RSI indicator is hovering near the oversold area.

For those who are bullish on gold, it’s crucial to prevent the price from closing below this level on the daily chart. They need to push the price above the 50% Fibonacci level to halt the steep decline. If they succeed, there’s a possibility for the price to fluctuate between $1894 and $1945.



However, if the price closes below this key level, the next target could be the 0.618 level of the Fibonacci retracement around $1865.​
 
Bitcoin's Double Bottom Pattern: A Sign of Hope?

Bitcoin is back in a key area of support, which ranges from 28,484 to 28,266. This happened after the bulls failed to overcome the strong resistance at 30,000. This point is not just a pivot point, but also a level that carries a lot of psychological importance. The bears have taken over and pushed the price down from the pivot area. They are currently testing the high of May 28th, which is between 28,484 and 28,266.

Our team of analysts at Hubufx suggests being patient at this stage. They advise against rushing into a long trade. The important thing is to watch if the bears can close below the low of August 1st. If they can't, we might see a double bottom pattern forming in the support area.



When we look more closely at the 4-hour timeframe, we see a long wick candlestick. This shows that the bulls are trying to keep the price above 28,000. So far, they have stopped the bears from closing below this important level. If a double bottom pattern does form, Bitcoin's market price could surge to test the psychological resistance at 30,000. The minor resistance at 28,794 is crucial in this situation. For the uptrend to continue and for confirmation of a double bottom pattern, it's vital for the market to close above this resistance.



On the flip side, if the bears manage to break through the support at 28,240, we could see Bitcoin's value continue its downward trend towards lower support levels as shown on the daily chart.​
 
GBPJPY Recent Decline: A Technical Perspective

The GBPJPY currency pair is currently hovering around the 184.81 mark. This comes after a noticeable break in the rising trendline, a development that was somewhat expected. The reason for this anticipation was the RSI indicator, a tool used by traders to identify potential market reversals. The RSI had been lingering in the overbought zone for several sessions, hinting at a possible decline.

This recent drop in GBPJPY is seen as a correction, a common occurrence in financial markets. It has allowed the bears, or those betting on a price decrease, to temporarily take control of the market. This has led to a lowering of the price to the 0.236 level of Fibonacci retracement, a popular technical analysis tool used by traders. Following this, the price has reached the 183.26 support level, which serves as a robust supply zone for GBPJPY bulls, or those betting on a price increase.

As long as this level holds firm, the market direction of GBPJPY is considered bullish, indicating an upward trend. The resistance level, another key concept in technical analysis representing a price level that an asset struggles to exceed, is at the recent high of 186.46.



Despite these market fluctuations, the outlook for GBPJPY remains bullish. The 0.236 level of Fibonacci and the 183.26 supply zone provide a reasonable bid for bulls to enter long positions in the market.

Our dedicated analysis team at HubuFX suggests keeping a close eye on these two levels and looking out for candlestick patterns and price action behaviors. These are key elements of technical analysis that can provide valuable insights into future price movements. We will continue to provide more updates on the GBPJPY pair in future sessions. So stay tuned with us for more insightful technical analysis on GBPJPY and make informed trading decisions.​
 
GBPJPY Recent Decline: A Technical Perspective

The GBPJPY currency pair is currently hovering around the 184.81 mark. This comes after a noticeable break in the rising trendline, a development that was somewhat expected. The reason for this anticipation was the RSI indicator, a tool used by traders to identify potential market reversals. The RSI had been lingering in the overbought zone for several sessions, hinting at a possible decline.

This recent drop in GBPJPY is seen as a correction, a common occurrence in financial markets. It has allowed the bears, or those betting on a price decrease, to temporarily take control of the market. This has led to a lowering of the price to the 0.236 level of Fibonacci retracement, a popular technical analysis tool used by traders. Following this, the price has reached the 183.26 support level, which serves as a robust supply zone for GBPJPY bulls, or those betting on a price increase.

As long as this level holds firm, the market direction of GBPJPY is considered bullish, indicating an upward trend. The resistance level, another key concept in technical analysis representing a price level that an asset struggles to exceed, is at the recent high of 186.46.



Despite these market fluctuations, the outlook for GBPJPY remains bullish. The 0.236 level of Fibonacci and the 183.26 supply zone provide a reasonable bid for bulls to enter long positions in the market.

Our dedicated analysis team at HubuFX suggests keeping a close eye on these two levels and looking out for candlestick patterns and price action behaviors. These are key elements of technical analysis that can provide valuable insights into future price movements. We will continue to provide more updates on the GBPJPY pair in future sessions. So stay tuned with us for more insightful technical analysis on GBPJPY and make informed trading decisions.​
I like your analysis. It's straightforward and easy to undrstand
 
USDJPY Forecast: 143.86 Support in Focus

The USDJPY currency pair experienced an uptrend that came to a halt after reaching a high of 146.51 on August 17. Subsequently, it returned to the previous high around the 145 area, which now acts as support for the USDJPY. The outlook for the USDJPY remains bullish, with the 145 level providing support for the bulls. As a result, it is likely that the price will continue to rise and target the 149.14 resistance level.



On the other hand, if the market closes below the 145 support level on USDJPY, the path will be cleared for a test of the 143.86 support level. This scenario could potentially lead to further downside movement in the USDJPY currency pair.​
 
EURUSD Near Resistance: Short Opportunities Ahead

The EURUSD currency pair has recently bounced from the support zone at 1.085 and is currently testing the resistance area between 1.0915 and 1.0935. Interestingly, the EURUSD formed a bullish engulfing candlestick on its daily chart, which is usually a signal for the start of an uptrend or the end of a downtrend. However, it is important to note that based on price action trading, the 1.0915 - 1.0935 area is a significant barrier for the bulls and the market must close above this level on EURUSD before we can confirm the bullish scenario.

Despite this, the overall outlook for the EURUSD remains bearish as long as it is trading below 1.0935.



On the other hand, the EURUSD is currently hovering near a demand zone where selling pressure is likely to increase. As such, traders looking to go short on EURUSD should consider placing a stop loss above 1.0935 with a potential reward target at the previous low around 1.085.

In summary, while there are some bullish signals for the EURUSD currency pair, it remains in a bearish trend and traders should exercise caution when considering going long on this pair. As always, it is important to manage risk carefully and use appropriate stop loss levels when trading.​
 
RSI Indicator Flips Above Signal Line for NZDUSD

The NZDUSD currency pair is currently experiencing a surge as it moves toward the upper band of the declining channel in the 4 hour time frame. Interestingly, the RSI indicator has flipped above the signal line, providing a favorable forecast for bulls. This indicates that the NZDUSD has the potential to touch channel resistance and possibly even break outside the channel to test the 0.236 level of Fibonacci.

Despite the RSI signaling a rise in the value of NZDUSD, there are two bullish engulfing patterns and a hammer that are in line with this bullish scenario. However, for this scenario to be considered more valid, the NZDUSD bulls must close above the 0.5963 minor resistance. Only after this occurs will the road to 0.6019 be paved.



It is important to note that the overall outlook for the NZDUSD remains bearish and that this recent rise can be considered as a correction. The 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level plays a crucial role in determining the future outlook of the pair. As long as the pair continues to trade within the channel and under the 0.6019 resistance, the bearish outlook will remain valid.


Trading Ideas:
HubuFX analysis team suggests closely monitoring the price action and candlestick patterns to identify an optimal entry point for a short order, either around the upper band of the channel or near the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.​
 

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