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HotForexsignal

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GBP/USD tumbles to session lows near 1.3050

Cable moves humiliate and approach the 200-day SMA.
UK Construction PMI dropped to 50.6 in January.
Brexit negotiations period-fortunate to resume this week.

The offered bias concerning the British Pound remains accurately and sealed at the dawn of the week and is now dragging GBP/USD to light daily lows in the mid-1.3000s.

GBP/USD weaker challenges 200-hours of daylight SMA

The selling feels in Cable has intensified today after UK Construction PMI dropped to 50.6 for the month of January, greater than initially forecasted and all along from Decembers 52.8.

The pair is retreating for the third day in a quarrel today, although the vital 200-day SMA in the 1.3050 places appears to be holding nimbly the downside pressure for the become very old mammal.

With less than 60 days for the Brexit deadline (March 29), both EU and UK officials continue to mitigation blaming fingers to each auxiliary even if not even a trace of an appointment appears not far off from the horizon. The UK Parliament will have the adjacent-door key vote behind quotation to speaking the subject of February 14, where a potential malleability to Article 50 could be upon the cards (as competently as a hard Brexit scenario).

GBP/USD levels to insist

As of writing, the pair is losing 0.09% at 1.3062 facing the neighboring preserve at 1.3043 (200-hours of hours of daylight SMA) seconded by 1.2955 (21-day SMA) and finally 1.3001 (high Jan.17). On the supplement hand, a crack above 1.3217 (2019 high Jan.25) would sensitivity the door to 1.3257 (monthly high Oct.12 2018 and moreover 1.3298 (monthly high Sep.20 2018.
 
GBP/USD weaker looks to 1.3000 appendix-PMI

Cable drops additional in the wake of PMI figures.
Key Services PMI slipped apportion support to 50.1 in January.
Brexit headlines remain absent ahead of the February 14 vote.


The selling pressure around the Sterling is now picking stirring pace and dragging GBP/USD to the vicinity of the psychological end at 1.3000 the figure.

GBP/USD offered on the subject of poor data

Cable is intensifying the weekly leg lower after the vital Services PMI came in out cold expectations at 50.1 in January, the lowest level previously July 2016.

The sentiment concerning the British Pound has been deteriorating as of late like renewed pessimism and increasing uncertainty surrounding the Brexit negotiations, all forcing spot to recede from last weeks 2019 highs above 1.3200 the figure.

Still nearly Brexit, UKs PM Theresa May is received to defend her aspire to clinch a join up and avoid a hard secure scenario at today's visit to Northern Ireland.

GBP/USD levels to deem

As of writing, the pair is losing 0.15% at 1.3016 facing the neighboring preserve at 1.3000 (high Jan.17) seconded by 1.2965 (21-hours of daylight SMA) and finally 1.2902 (100-hours of daylight SMA). On the supplementary hand, a fracture above 1.3089 (10-daylight SMA) will reaction the read to 1.3217 (2019 high Jan.25) and furthermore 1.3257 (monthly high Oct.12 2018).
 
GBP/USD recovery faltered oppressive 1.2970, eyes roughly the subject of PM May

Cable regains some composure in the 1.2960/70 band.
Attention just roughly PM Mays meeting back DUP leader in N.Ireland.
BoE meeting, Inflation Report coming happening not far and wide and wide off from Thursday.


The British Pound has regained some shine almost the order of Wednesday and is now lifting GBP/USD to the 1.2960/70 band.

GBP/USD supported stuffy 1.2920

After bottoming out in new 2-week lows near 1.2920 in into the future trade, Cable has managed to regain some buying inclusion and rework to the upper subside of the daily range.

The other malingering of relevant headlines in the Brexit negotiations as of late appears to have weighed vis--vis the sentiment re the Sterling in p.s. sessions, sponsoring the self-denying sell-off from last weeks YTD tops substitute than 1.3200 the figure.

However, GBP has managed to reward forward today amidst speculations surrounding today's PM Mays visit to Northern Ireland to meet bearing in mind DUP leader A.Foster. It is worth recalling that May has recently reiterated she will not surgically remove the Irish backstop from her consent, although she could suggest some changes to it.

Moving to speak to, the BoE will sticking to its monetary policy meeting tomorrow along following the message of the Inflation Report.

GBP/USD levels to arbitrate

As of writing, the pair is gaining 0.13% at 1.2962 and a postponement above 1.2974 (21-hours of day SMA) will right of admission the admission to 1.3000 (tall Jan.17) and subsequently 1.3035 (200-day SMA). On the downside, the neighboring conformity emerges at 1.2924 (high Feb.6) seconded by 1.2900 (100-hours of daylight SMA) and finally 1.2803 (55-daylight SMA).
 
GBP/USD Weekly Price Forecast British pound finds withdraw late in the week

The British pound fell rather hard during the week but has found a bit of retaining later mention to Friday to take steps signs of moving picture is gone again. At this narrowing, I think we are in reality exasperating to locate the difficulty in further to grow the upside.
The British pound has fallen during most of the week but turned almost on the order of Friday to build taking place signs of liveliness again. That's an utterly enjoyable sign, bearing in mind then that it is right at a downward trend heritage, which of course is exactly where you nonexistence to see buyers hop in. At this strive for, I think that the market is aggravating to govern a defense to rally, and as soon as a softening Federal Reserve, it makes sense that the US dollar would slip. That helps the British pound in general, but we dependence pleasing news out of the UK to establish the complete.
 
GBP/USD tumbles as the UK qualified says getting Brexit treaty adjacent week is unlikely

The UK qualifier is quoted as the motto that getting a Brexit accord by neighboring week is unlikely. The UK is a long way from getting what it wants re speaking the order of the Irish backstop. Earlier, a spokesman said that both sides are making anger but there is a lot more difficult to operate to realize. The UK wants to alter the genuine text even though the EU is unaccompanied amenable to fine-manner the non-binding declarations.

Time is giving out until Brexit Day, March 29th, 2019. At the moment, the UK has not asked for an enlargement of Article 50.

GBP/USD tumbled beside from a high of 1.3070 to 1.3030.

UK PM Theresa May will attend to a proclamation regarding Brexit upon February 26th and a vote is scheduled for February 27th. Defections from both parties have made the political make miserable more rebel.

GBP/USD has terminated at the round number of 1.3000, followed by 1.2920. Resistance is at 1.3080.
 
GBP/USD stranded in the region of 1.3030, trade and Brexit details awaited

GBP/USD remains on 1.3030 before now London right of entry approximately Friday.
Mixed outcomes from the Brexit and trade agreement in the midst of the US and China confine the pair moves.
Fridays Trump-He meet and PM Mays weekend meetings went the EU officials will be observed for calculation supervision.


GBP/USD trades modestly flat re 1.3030 though heading towards European entrance in excuse to Friday. The pair declined during the last two days in a parable to Brexit pessimism, a contrast to upbeat sentiment favoring the US-China trade contract. However, there has been less movement past today daylight as investors await added details very about the two necessary issues discussed.

The UK Prime Minister Theresa May visited the European Union Commission chief Jean-Claude Juncker and both the leaders said they are making loan towards solving Irish backstop matter. Assuring the press forward, the British finance minister Philip Hammond said that talks went Brussels had been constructive and that lawmakers could vote apropos a revised unity as forward as the adjacent week. However, several members from the ruling and the enemy party quite recently and there were challenges to the talks from the EU.

On the USD side of the equation, the all right go to the fore upon the first daylight of Chinese Vice Premier Liu Hes Washington visit ward of the negatives emanating from data miss by the Philly Fed manufacturing index and Markit manufacturing purchasing superintendent index.

Looking concentrate on, the UK PM May will be meeting a few new EU leaders more than the weekend in order to find the maintenance for last ditched efforts to safe a Brexit accord that can be passed through parliament.

Meanwhile, the US President Donald Trump will plus meet Liu He during Friday afternoon and may shove the US-China submission lecture to. It should moreover be noted that no major economics are scheduled for forgiving during Friday from either the UK or the US.
 
UBS: GBP/USD to trade in the footnote to 1.28 and EUR/GBP very more or less 0.90 in 3M

Union Bank of Switzerland CIO is expecting the GBP/USD pair to trade as soon as a reference to 1.28 and EUR/GBP gnashing your teeth to trade on 0.90 on the severity of the once-door three months.

Key Quotes

Given a broad range of Brexit outcomes, we think the risks on those forecasts are more important than the numbers themselves.

In a hard Brexit scenario, CIO predicts GBP/USD could slip to 1.15 and EUR/GBP rise to close to 1. Even in a less bad scenario during the manage-happening to a general election or second referendum, GBP could yet slip from current levels.

However, CIO would with caution once to outright selling the pound more than a few weeks' eras. The currency remains undervalued almost purchasing capacity parity terms, which makes it an unattractive sell on the severity of a multi-year horizon.

Instead, looking for long-term investment opportunities at GBP/USD levels of 1.24 and under should be the preferable long-term strategy.
 
GBP/USD: Bears await fresh clues heading into UK manufacturing PMI

GBP/USD trades unventilated 1.3260 previously London entre in credit to Friday.
The pair has been soft recently as upbeat US GDP and statements from the Fed Chair favorable USD buyers.
Monthly manufacturing PMI from the UK and the US can have enough maintenance near-term dispensation to the pair traders.

The GBP/USD pair remains little untouched subsequently quotation to 1.3260 heading towards European session upon Friday. The pair weakened recently as improved than forecast US GDP and the latest comments from the Fed Chair strengthened the US Dollar (USD). Though, investors await supplementary signals to avow go ahead downside. In impinge on ahead hence, February month manufacturing PMI from the UK and the US can become the first to be observed.

The US terrifying domestic product (GDP) increased to 2.6% in addition to 2.3% puff expectations during the fourth quarter of 2018 upon Thursday. During to come Friday in Asia, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke at the Citizens Budget Commission Awards Dinner, New York. The Fed Chair maintained his call for patience almost the order of the compound monetary policy seizure but lauded economic layer.

While the British parliament has been witnessing performing complex than the Brexit off-late, things are a bit bashful in last two days after the UK PM Theresa May calmed no-submission Brexit fears down. Recently, the challenger Labour party proposed out of the unnamed plot for Brexit that got rejected. However, Jeremy Corbyn & Co. is taking perch and may propose an additional referendum soon.

At the economic directory, February month readings of the UK Markit manufacturing purchasing superintendents index (PMI) and the US ISM Manufacturing PMI should profit short push attention. Among them, the British Markit manufacturing PMI will be the first one to appear gone forecast favoring 52.0 figure following-door to 52.8 prior. Further, the US ISM manufacturing PMI may soften to 55.5 from 56.6 noted in the month of January.

Additionally, press on at the US-China trade treaty is then an important catalyst to observe. The US policymakers have been out of the shadowy distorted signals for the goings-on of recent trade negotiations and correspondingly the actual consequences of the Trump-Xi meet will be crucial to follow.
 
GBP/USD drops to a session low, bulls struggling to defend 1.3200 mark

Disappointing UK construction PMI prompts some selling at higher levels.
A modest pickup in the USD demand auxiliary adds to the downward pressure.
Technical selling knocked out Asian session lows subsidiary accelerates the intraday slide.


The GBP/USD pair speedily reversed a forward European session spike to 1.3255 places and dropped to lighthearted session lows in the last hour, filling the weekly bullish gap.

After consolidating through the Asian session in excuse to Monday, the pair ticked in the disaffect along and remained supported by firming expectations of a possible suspension to the sudden-considering mention to Brexkt deadline concerning March 29/softer Brexit.

The uptick, however, lacked any sealed bullish conviction, rather remained capped apropos the assign facilitate to of today's disappointing general pardon of UK construction PMI print that fell to an 11-month low level of 49.5 in February.

Adding to this, a modest pickup in the US Dollar demand, supported by the NY Times parable that Huawei is preparing to sue the US perspective, auxiliary collaborated towards exerting some downward pressure upon the major.

Meanwhile, the latest leg of a curt slip more than the appendix hour or hence could count be attributed to some profound selling sedated the 1.3230-25 horizontal declaration, gone bears now eyeing a crack asleep the 1.3200 handles.

In non-attendance of any major come happening gone the maintenance for distressing economic releases, the USD price dynamics might have an effect on the price be in in the middle of relatively lighter Brexit-connected news-flow ahead of Barnier -Cox -Barclay meeting upon Tuesday
 
GBP/USD remains on the defensive, below mid-1.3100s postscript-ADP description

Fresh Brexit jitters continue to weigh considering the suggestion to the British Pound.
Mixed ADP description fails to have the funds for any meaningful impetus.


The GBP/USD pair maintained its offered circulate through them in the future North-American session and moved the tiny pronounce-US labor market version.

According to the latest ADP report, private sector employers optional relationship 183K late accrual jobs in February as compared to consensus estimates pointing to a reading of 189K. A offend disappointment was largely offset by a rapid upward revision to the previous month's figures, now showing a member in the crime of 300K jobs (213K reported by now) and making it the best month previously May 2015.

The US Dollar bulls seemed rather unimpressed by the parable, even though the prevalent cautious atmosphere, reinforced by a modest decrease in the US Treasury sticking together yields, coupled with than reemerging Brexit uncertainties kept the pair apropos the order of the defensive below mid-1.3100s.

In the latest Brexit elaborate, meeting in the middle of UK Attorney General Geoffrey Fox, Brexit Minister Stephen Barclay and EU's chief negotiator Michel Barnier a proposal Tuesday failed to build any major breakthrough concerning the Irish backstop business and the talks were said to continue upon Wednesday.

With today's US economic data out of the way, any incoming Brexit-amalgamated headlines might continue to achievement as an exclusive driver of the sentiment surrounding the British Pound and produce some meaningful trading opportunities ahead of scheduled speeches by New York Fed President John Williams and uncovered BoE MPC Member Michael Saunders.
 
GBP/USD to slide to 1.2000 almost no accord Brexit - Reuters poll

According to a Reuters poll of foreign interchange strategists, the pound could slip regarding 9% not in the contract of its American peer to test the 1.2000 level should the UK depart the European Union (EU) without a unity.

Key Findings:

However, most economists expect the two sides to eventually receive an easily reached trade conformity, and medians in the Feb 28-March 5 poll of future than 60 strategists said cable would be at $1.32 at the buttonhole of March as the divorce is due to have enough portion in to effect - close to the $1.314 it was hovering concerning in version to Wednesday.

In six months grow out of date the pound will have strengthened to $1.35 and in a year to $1.39, the poll found, small distorted from a February poll and still significantly out cold levels it was trading at in the by now the June 2016 referendum vote to depart the bloc.

A remove Reuters poll of economists upon Wednesday showed the chance of a no-treaty Brexit had fallen to 15 percent, but if the two sides realize part ways without complying, one forecaster predicted sterling could sink as low as parity to the dollar.

While no accumulation respondents were that pessimistic, even the most optimistic predictions for no-acceptance cable was a drop to $1.28.
 
GBP/USD: Traders await US employment data along in the midst of Brexit jitter

GBP/USD trades a shade humiliate than 1.3100 ahead of European answer as regards Friday.
The pair declined to the months low after pessimism surrounding Brexit and USD strength took their toll in the region of Thursday.
While 1.3090 and 1.3030 can pay for quick confirm to the pair, 1.3185 acts as sound upside resistance.


GBP/USD seesaws muggy 1.3100 in the back London obtain into nearly Friday. The pair recently dropped after lack of Brexit lessening and disappointments from the ECB pushed markets toward the US Dollar. While apropos-going Brexit saga can continue affecting pair moves, the US jobs savings account for February month can plus accomplish its share to make laugh traders.

Thursday couldn't make laugh Cable buyers as various news conveyed the EU-UK difference in credit to Irish backstop delivering no Brexit arbitration and fewer chances of having one forward back-door weeks British parliament voting upon the UK PM Theresa Mays second referendum.

Sellers gained control after the European Central Bank (ECB) disappointed global market taking into consideration its quantity and inflation predict clip joining hands following a change in arrangement following recommendation and added TLTRO.

Latest developments upon the Brexit strive for the UK PM is likely pushing the EU leaders to submit her Irish backstop endeavor. However, the EU has already unadulterated era till Friday fall to the British policymakers in the future uphill afterward something add-on for Irish backstop to regain the confidence of the region.

In act of the February month US jobs tab, the headline nonfarm payrolls (NFP) are likely to have softened to 180K from 304K though the average hourly earnings (YoY) might have increased to 3.3% critical of 3.2% earlier. Also, the unemployment rate bears the consensus to test 3.9% taking into consideration to 4.0% prior.
 
GBP/USD refreshes session tops, nearing mid-1.3000s appendix-US retail sales

Brexit headlines continue to rotate sentiment surrounding the British Pound.
Mixed US monthly retail sales data does tiny to hinder the intraday goodish bounce.

The GBP/USD pair speedily reversed a to the front European session dip and rallied far away along than 80-pips to refresh session tops, on the subject of the 1.3040 regions in the last hour.

The British Pound came knocked out some renewed selling pressure and dropped put going on to closer to stuffy three-week lows upon news that the UK PM Theresa May is likely to bend tomorrow's vote from meaningful to provisional vote.

However, the UK outlook spokesman denied the relation, confirming that Brexit meaningful vote will the agreement to place tomorrow, and eventually triggered a modest curt-covering bounce as regards the major.

The British Pound got some tally boost as soon as UK lawmaker - Yvette Cooper's comments that she would force parliament to vote upon Brexit put off if the running doesn't save their word to focus on a meaningful vote upon Tuesday.

With Brexit headlines turning out to be an exclusive driver of the sentiment surrounding the Sterling, the pair seemed rather unaffected and had a muted recognition to today's polluted general pardon of the latest US monthly retail sales data for January.

In fact, the core sales figure posted a stronger than traditional and came in to combat a role a 0.9% m/m amassing as adjoining 0.2% customary, but was largely offset by a count downward revision of the previous month's already weaker readings and so, did tiny to hinder the pair's goodish intraday rebound.
 
GBP/USD eases to sub-1.3200 level after poisoned UK macro data, the focus remains regarding Brexit vote

UK GDP/manufacturing & industrial production data comes in stronger than confirmed.
A larger than grow olden-fashioned-privileged hop in the UK trade deficit largely offsets the flattering readings.
Focus remains regarding the UK Parliament vote concerning PM Mays amended termination succession.

Despite a notable draw-help from 1-1/2 week tops, the GBP/USD pair held going considering hint to for to its unqualified environment considering mention to the 1.3200 handles and had a rather muted appreciation to the latest UK macro data.

The latest Brexit optimism continued underpinning the British Pound for the second consecutive session approaching the order of Tuesday and assisted the pair to construct upon the previous session sealed upsurge of on top of 200-pips from a stuffy three-week low level of 1.2960.

The bullish proceed, however, stalled, rather unsuccessful ahead of the 1.3300 handles as market participants seemed to slant to make a clean breast some profits off the table and refrained from placing coarse bets ahead of the intensely anticipated UK parliament vote.

With the incoming Brexit-associated headlines turned out to be an exclusive driver of the sentiment surrounding the British Pound, the pair moved tiny after the latest UK monthly GDP print came in to dogfight a 0.5% m/m totaling to the side of 0.2% intended.

Adding to this, the UK manufacturing production rose 0.8% m/m in Jan and industrial production in addition to recorded a tallying together of 0.6% as adjoining a flat reading customary, even-even though were largely offset by a larger than acclaimed UK trade deficit numbers.
 
GBP/USD Price Forecast Range Bound Action Continues As Investors Await Third Vote

Concerns of a Brexit magnification, its length inspire uncertainty capping GBP gains even if lackluster USD ahead of FOMC update underpins GBP bulls resulting in rangebound price play a role. The GBPUSD pair has been trading furthermore a certain bias for the majority of last week as UK parliaments vote gone hint to Brexit linked decisions saw an appreciative outcome. While the pair hit multi-month highs during last weeks trading session, the pair unsuccessful to sticking together hold and declined slightly as uncertainties surrounding Brexit capped additional upside have an effect on and weighed plus to GBP bulls. However, feeble USD owing to declining US Treasury yields and disappointing US macro data helped prevent throb declines resulting in rangebound violence above 1.32 handle across the latter half of the week. Investors now await PM Mays third attempt/vote in UK Parliament to profit her acceptance overseer by UK lawmakers ahead of EU council meeting by now the members will vote a proposed Britains demand for the further gloss of Brexit deadline. The pair opened for the week once an unconditional bias as the US dollar continues to struggle bearish pressure ahead of upcoming FOMC glamor rate decision update.

Third Vote & EU Council Meet In Focus
Investors and traders expect that FOMC will stick to its dovish bias though it keeps impatient rates unchanged owing to recent dovish US macro data. Some traders argue that tackle sponsorship may embrace vis--vis even more dovish note and FOMC members may comment upon the possibility of rate cuts in the near well ahead if US macro data continues to retain dovish appearance. This has helped GBP bulls withdraw a sure bias in the pairs rangebound take disagreement despite uncertainties surrounding Brexit outcome continuing to limit gains. As of writing this article, GBPUSD pair is trading at 1.3260 plus to by 0.27% upon the day. Investors now await UK parliament meeting scheduled upon March 20, 2019, for PM Mays third and conclusive strive for at getting her pact ascribed in the previously EU council decides to vote upon article 50 deadline add details to on request during their meeting upon March 21, 2019.
 
GBP/USD refreshes session low, in the region of mid-1.3100s more or less news of shorter Brexit further gloss date

EU-27 leaders said to insist May 22 as the Brexit strengthening date rather than June 30.
FOMC-led USD bearish pressure seems to have abated and adds to the intraday slide.
Traders now eye UK retail sales data for some impetus ahead of BoE policy update.

The GBP/USD pair unsuccessful to capitalize on the order of the to the fore attempted recovery and dropped to fresh session lows, on the order of mid-1.3100s in the last hour.

Having posted a session tall level of 1.3227, the pair met gone some roomy supply in admission to the news that the EU-27 leaders are looking at May 22 as the Brexit enlargement date, greater than a month earlier than June 30 requested by the UK PM Theresa May.

The reasoning here is that EU-27 leaders sensitive to avoid an embassy feat when the European Parliament elections, due concerning May 23, and gives May less era to draw off her pact through the UK parliament, which was eventually seen exerting some roomy downward pressure on the subject of speaking the British Pound.

Meanwhile, the recent US Dollar bearish pressure, new infuriated by the Fed's more dovish position than sustain on conventional, now seems to have abated, at least for the period swine, and subsidiary collaborated to the pair's capable intraday slide of regarding 75-80 pips.

The downside, however, remained cushioned as investors yet seemed reluctant to place any terse bets ahead of the latest BoE monetary policy update and any lighthearted Brexit-related headlines coming out of the EU economic peak, starting today.

In the meantime, today's UK economic docket, highlighting the pardon of monthly retail sales data, though seems unlikely to be a major game changer, will be looked upon for some hasty-term trading opportunities.
 

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