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Australia Retail Sales Growth at 4-Month High The ABS initial estimates of official retail showed a much stronger than expected 1.3% gain in July. That compares to a low rise of 0.2% in June and marks the strongest monthly gain since March. The consensus forecast was of a 0.3% rise The detail...

Additional China stimulus helps stimulate the Aussie After problem in the housing market and a recent bout of poor data from China, including weak retails Sales and Industrial Production, China has implemented several polices to help the beleaguered sectors. Earlier this week, China announced...

NZD First Impressions: Retail Trade The volume of goods sold fell by 2.3%. That is lower than the forecast for muted 0.3% rise, and well below the average analyst forecast for a 1.7% gain. Today’s fall follows a 0.9% drop in spending in first quarter, leaving spending volumes down 3% through...

GBP/USD – British Pound Jumped US Dollar British pound jumped 0.82% yesterday, as the currency has rebounded from its worst week of the year. GBP/USD went down 2.53% last week, as the USD has found strength after weeks of beating a retreat. GBP/USD climbed yesterday after US New home sales...

USD CNH | US Dollar Chinese Yuan Offshore The comment from Fed officials last week helped USD to surge and the expectations of 75bps rate hike on the next meeting which will be on 21st September. Last week there was a discussion of Fed officials about how it is premature to worry about the...

EUR/USD Plunging Into Parity as US Dollar Pair is moving around 1.0100-1.0270 channel for three weeks now. All attempts of the break through to its upper or lower border ended in failure. These attempts continued until 10th August after the publication of data on inflation in the US, the pair...

GBP, Conservative Party Elections The political backdrop, candidates and expected policies for traders to watch around next month’s UK Conservative Party leadership election, who will be the UK’s next PM ?. Traders generally overestimate the impact of political move’s on market, however...

Bank Of Canada Inflation on it’s Peak Bank Of Canada deputy governor said that obvious inflation is high but it is still far form being too high. Despite CPI has fallen to 7.6% y/y from 8.1% and core CPI is down to 6.1% from 6.2% y/y, the Canadian dollar was higher on the day but it also...

August RBNZ Preview and what next for the NZD/USD It is widely expected that the Official Cash Rate will be raised by 50 bp taking the cash rate to 3% in tomorrow’s meeting of Reserve Bank of New Zealand. It will be the RBNZ’s fourth consecutive 50bp hike in a tightening cycle that started in...

JPY/NZD Weekly Fundamental Forecast: RBNZ Hike May do Little for NZD JPY Divergence is increasing on Yen future prices and market positioning. Yen is at it’s 24-year low, net-short exposure is at its least bearish level since March 2021. Over 27k gross shorts were closed over the past two...

Gold Loses Some Sheen as Hawkish Fed Outweighs Softer Inflation It’s been difficult for Gold to keep its bullish movement even though inflation data supporting the view that the Fed’s rate hikes are slow. Perhaps a bit of base and stability is needed for gold to gear up for a clean breakout...

USD/CAD: A Tale Of Two Labor Markets Traders are still trying to digest last week’s US jobs report, but one thing is clear that The US labor market is outperforming Canada’s labor market. Markets are starting to settle into the traditional “Dog Days of Summer” trade, major indices, commodities...

US CPI Preview: Are we past peak inflation? Price pressure may show slowing down while the Fed’s preferred Core CPI measure shows that underlying inflation is still rising. Tomorrow the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July Consumer Price Index report. Economists are expecting...

RBNZ survey of Expectations, NZD The expectations form RBNZ ‘s latest survey shows inflation over coming years will remain high. The trend is seen higher in recent quarters looks like arrested and the expectations easing at some of the key medium-term horizons. Lets look at the details...

Employment Rate Change In Canada Employment change in Canada is better than expected and this will help Bank Of Canada to hike again in next meeting which will be in September. NFP tomorrow, markets will be focusing on the data, and Canada will release the July Employment Change data as well...

AUD/USD After RBA Meeting Policy rate as expected by RBA was raised by 50 bps to 1.85% last Tuesday. This is the fourth consecutive hike and steepest in almost 30 years. This helped a little to raise AUD/USD which was down by almost 1% from the beginning of this week. This release leaves the...

Swiss National Bank, CHF A message from Swiss National Bank was sent to market last week which was that it may take monetary policy measures at any time between regular assessment dates if circumstances require that. Last meeting of SNB on 16th June surprised markets and hiked interest rates by...

Upcoming Market Updates: AUD, NZD, EUR, GBP, USD, JPY AUD: AIG Manufacturing Index, it measures level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufactures. NZD: Building Consents m/m, it measures change in the number of new building approvals issued. JPY: Final Manufacturing PMI, it measures...

Upcoming News for this Week:- FOMC, RBA, BOE FOMC The FOMC increased rates by 75bps increasing the Fed Funds rate from 1.75% to 2.50%. The statement confirmed that spending and production were soft, however job increase remain strong. The Fed put softer data aside by saying that it anticipates...

The US Economy || US rate hike cycle concludes in 2022 Last week was very active for global rebirth in risk appetite despite a run of data which pointed to deteriorating US economic growth. This is because the softer tone of US data and the FOMC’s acceptance of it implies a reducing risk of the...